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Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
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Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
1–16 of 16
9 / 16
graded
7 still pending
And I should say Democrats are also very likely to hold on to their seat in Georgia, just for what it's worth.
They look then likely as well to somewhere between a sort of toss-up and a lean Democratic seat in Texas and Ohio, where Democrats have got some good recruits in James Talarico and Sherrod Brown
They look then likely as well to somewhere between a sort of toss-up and a lean Democratic seat in Texas and Ohio, where Democrats have got some good recruits in James Talarico and Sherrod Brown
Our model at 50 Plus One shows a 99% chance that the Democrats will win 218 seats or more.
So now, we're up into the 70s again for the Senate, right? ... But that's also looking pretty strong, right? [Morris then discusses the four pickups Democrats need]
They look likely, according to our model, to get a pickup in North Carolina, where the former governor, Roy Cooper, is running against the current chair of the Republican National Committee.
Republicans, who were already favored in November, celebrated Nixon’s win , but some polls have shown her and other Florida Democrats with an unexpected opening.
Jackson and Bishop are competing to succeed Democrat Josh Stein, who was favored to win the governorship even before Republican Mark Robinson's campaign imploded in September .
a critical goal with Democrat Josh Stein favored to win the governorship
Democratic state Sen. Kelly Morrison, who is poised to easily win a seat in Congress, resigned from the legislature in July
Democrats need to win all three seats that are up this year to win a 4-3 majority—a tough task in a year when Donald Trump is poised to comfortably carry the Buckeye State.
Four are especially straightforward, involving races where Democratic incumbents look to be in solid shape for reelection... KS-03 (Rep. Sharice Davids): $320,000 cut
races where Democratic incumbents look to be in solid shape for reelection... OH-01 (Rep. Greg Landsman): $1 million cut
races where Democratic incumbents look to be in solid shape for reelection... MI-03 (Rep. Hillary Scholten): $600,000 cut
races where Democratic incumbents look to be in solid shape for reelection... PA-17 (Rep. Chris Deluzio): $1 million cut
Fellow Republican Troy Downing, who is running this year, is also airing a similar commercial attacking CI-126 in Montana's 2nd District, a dark red seat where he's on a glide path to victory.