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58 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →96.34% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 6 of 67 articles (3 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 45.7 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 73.2 accuracy (4 settled)
2726–2750 of 3,602
1,938 / 3,602
graded
1,664 still pending
Outside the room in 6 of 21 articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 44.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 11 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 18.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 62 articles (4 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 60.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 69.0 accuracy (4 settled)
Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost (the twelfth wide receiver on the consensus ADP)
I'm a pretty firm pass on Tyreek Hill... he's a pass for me. I don't want a lot of shares.
Breece Hall to outplay his draft cost (RB nineteen forty three overall)
I am a draft of Breece Hall. I actually don't hate the ADP... I actually think in the fourth round, especially full PPR, it's a big check
Tetairoa McMillan to outplay his draft cost (fifty nine overall)
We are drafting. Give me tetroh A McMillan one hundred percent... I think he could live up to what we wanted Marvin to be last year
Joe Mixon to fall short of his draft cost (one O two overall RB thirty seven)
This is a hard pass. I have absolutely no interest... So I have no interest in Joe Mixon.
Drake Maye to finish top ? at his position, by fantasy points
I kind of think he's going to stick around like QB between QB ten and fourteen this year.
RJ Harvey to outplay his draft cost (the fifties second player overall RB twenty two)
He is worth drafting.
Austin Ekeler to be 1st on the depth chart
Eckler, I think is probably going to lead this backfield in snaps and maybe touches too
Drake Maye to finish top 8 at his position, by fantasy points
Drake May is my QB eight. I think he could give you rushing numbers very similar to what Justin Fields.
Tetairoa McMillan to finish top 16 at his position, by fantasy points
I have him wide receiver sixteen here you got my rankings like he steps in new a high volume roll right away
Rashee Rice to outplay his draft cost (the ninth round)
So I just got Rashid Rice in the ninth round of a homely draft last weekend. I think that's pretty decent
Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost (the thirty seventh player off the board)
I'll pass... now he's in his thirties. It's just too many things to worry about here.
Drake Maye to outplay his draft cost (QB thirteen)
Draft. Drake May is my QB eight.
Tetairoa McMillan to outplay his draft cost (fifty nine overall)
Couldn't agree more with you, guys. I have him wide receiver sixteen here... like this one is easy.
Christian McCaffrey to outplay his draft cost (the seventh player overall)
he is a reluctant draft and the injury risk is absolutely terrifying
Tyler Warren to outplay his draft cost (tight end eleven)
Yeah, It's like George Kittle and Jeremy Shockey had a baby and it was Tyler Warren. So yes, it's a lot of havoc after the catch.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. to outplay his draft cost (an end of the draft dart throw)
And then Chris Rodriguez is like an end of the draft dart throw that I'm happy to take if I don't already have Eckler.
Joe Mixon to fall short of his draft cost (one O two overall RB thirty seven)
Pass and it would have to fall into the late rounds for me to have any interest whatsoever. A foot issue, no bueno
Austin Ekeler to outplay his draft cost (in the mid to late thirties at running back)
whereas Eckler, I think is probably going to lead this backfield in snaps and maybe touches too, and like is really easily draftable, like in the mid to late thirties at running back
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to finish with 10 wins
the Bucks are going to win ten games. Ten games will get them in the playoffs, at least ten games
Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs
We've got the Jags at plus one eighty to make the playoffs. I've got them too.
Detroit Lions to finish with 11 wins
but it is close to twenty so I would lean over on that
Green Bay Packers to finish with 9 wins
I just think they're gonna win nine games
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs
You got the Bucks at minus one seventy to make the playoffs
New Orleans Saints to finish with 5 wins
I am going to go under on the Panthers and over on the Saints
Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 12 wins
Kansas City over eleven and a half at plus one hundred