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58 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →96.29% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 6 of 21 articles (2 higher, 4 lower) · when its writers strayed: 44.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 18.3 accuracy (3 settled)
1051–1075 of 3,546
1,899 / 3,546
graded
1,647 still pending
Outside the room in 5 of 62 articles (4 higher, 1 lower) · when its writers strayed: 60.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in 5 of 64 articles (2 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 45.7 accuracy (3 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 73.2 accuracy (4 settled)
Outside the room in 4 of 10 articles (1 higher, 3 lower) · when its writers strayed: 69.0 accuracy (4 settled)
Quentin Johnston to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver forty two ADP overall one oh six)
I don't buy it. I am in on Quinton Johnston. I have him higher.
Carnell Tate to record 900 receiving yards
I have Colonel Tape for over nine hundred yards.
Jonathon Brooks to be 1st on the depth chart
I'm bullish on Jonathan Brooks, so I'm cool with any optimistic projections on him. I do think he's going to pass ... Hubbard at some point
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (ADP Wide Receiver eleven ... overall ADP twenty nine)
So I'm I'm fading the heck out of these Rashi Rice projections. I just there's so many ways this could go wrong.
Tyler Shough to finish top 21 at his position, by fantasy points
I've got Chuck at QB twenty one. ... I'm cautiously optimistic about Shuck, but I wouldn't be surprised if we saw a little bit of statistical recoil in his second season.
Harold Fannin Jr. to finish top ? at his position, by fantasy points
There's a case that you know, he could be an upper half, upper half TE one, high end t E one
San Francisco 49ers to finish with 10 wins
My bigger bet though, it is on their wind to I just I cannot see them not getting the ten or eleven wins. There's just so much talent, so well coached, they're going to get there.
Seattle Seahawks to finish with 11 wins
the fact that their minus won ten on the over a ten and a half and the RAM for eleven and a half... How do you not bet Seattle. That's such a better price, better number than anything you can bet on the Rams.
Mike Evans to be 1st on the depth chart
Now, you know, Ricky's not your number one. The fact you can have Mike Emsby a number now
Jacoby Brissett to be 1st on the depth chart
he didn't have a completion in seven on sevens... So he looks like he is a zero threat to Bersett's job.
San Francisco 49ers to win the division
So the fact they're plus three hundred, I have a couple of small bets I've done with them... at that number plus three hundred for this division, Chad, I have to put a little bit on
Indianapolis Colts to finish with 5 wins
but this feels like a five win team if you have a quarterback coming back to early off injury
Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart
as you don't want to see Anthony Richardson going there and potentially steal your job... I think most of us agree you're safe
Houston Texans to finish with 11 wins
I have them at eleven wins so nine and a half no problem betting that over
Houston Texans to win the division
It's Texans division easily to win... divisionally their plus one twenty no issue betting that either
Tennessee Titans to finish with 7–8 wins
but if you want to take their win total I don't hate that. I can see them getting seven or eight wins
Tennessee Titans to finish with 7–8 wins
yeah six and a half. I could see him getting the seven or eight wins
Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 10 wins
even if they regress a little bit, I still think Liam you get that team to ten wins
David Montgomery to outplay his draft cost (RB twenty forty six point seven overall)
Montgomery's real time ADP at this very moment ... it's RB twenty forty six point seven overall... But the rushing floor is very sturdy.
Derrick Henry to outplay his draft cost (RB eleven ADP)
imagine that Derrick Henry getting back to anywhere near having double digit touchdowns. We're talking about a guy that absolutely smashes his RB twelve, uh RB eleven ADP his RB twelve ECR rank.
Terry McLaurin to outplay his draft cost (going anywhere near round five in drafts right now)
This is actually a player that I love this year in drafts. Not only safe floor, but I think the upside is could be the best of his career at this point... McLaurin, who's going anywhere near round five in drafts right now
Terry McLaurin to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver twenty four overall, right now, fifty fifth)
Terry McLaurin, baby wide receiver, twenty four overall, right now, fifty fifth... we could see a career best season for McLaurin. So the safe floor is there, But also there's a ton of ceiling here too.
Travis Kelce to finish top 7 at his position, by fantasy points
He's still gonna be probably a top seven guy... that's still a quality tight end one with top seven upside
Travis Kelce to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points
but he's still gonna be a top twelve tight end. He's still gonna be probably a top seven guy.
David Montgomery to be 1st on the depth chart
I'm not worried about Woody Marks at all... I think this backfield will be owned by David Montgomery.