Derek Brown#12 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 3, 2026
Derek Brown predicted Derrick Henry remains an RB1 with top-five upside, David Montgomery owns the Houston backfield with a low-end RB2 floor and low-end RB1 ceiling, Terry McLaurin returns to top-15 (possibly WR1) production, and Travis Kelce finishes as a top-12, likely top-7 tight end.
Said on air or in an interview · FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)Hear the original
What Derek Brown said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromDerek Henry's gonna be an RB one until he decides to hang up the cleats.
- Where it was said
- FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)
- The episode
- FantasyPros - 6 SAFEST Fantasy Football Draft Picks | High-Floor Players You Can Trust (Ep. 2110)
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- 1Derrick Henry to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points“If he catches any more passes in this Doyle offense this year could be a top five back”
- 2Travis Kelce to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points“but he's still gonna be a top twelve tight end. He's still gonna be probably a top seven guy.”
- 3Terry McLaurin to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver twenty four overall, right now, fifty fifth)“Terry McLaurin, baby wide receiver, twenty four overall, right now, fifty fifth... we could see a career best season for McLaurin. So the safe floor is there, But also there's a ton of ceiling here too.”
- 4Travis Kelce to finish top 7 at his position, by fantasy points“He's still gonna be probably a top seven guy... that's still a quality tight end one with top seven upside”
- 5David Montgomery to be 1st on the depth chart“I'm not worried about Woody Marks at all... I think this backfield will be owned by David Montgomery.”
- 6David Montgomery to finish top 24 at his position, by fantasy points“And the floor is low end RB two and the ceiling is not hard to see again, go back to twenty twenty four Joe Mixon and if David Montgomery could be a low end RB one this year”
- 7Derrick Henry to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points“Derek Henry's gonna be an RB one until he decides to hang up the cleats... But again, an RB twelve or higher every single year.”
- 8Terry McLaurin to finish top 15 at his position, by fantasy points“Gall that got all the touchdowns in Jane Daniels rookie season was a top fifteen wide receiver. I think he can go back to being that. Heck, he could be a wide receiver one this year.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Henry to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points1 | Positional Finishes | — | — | — | — | |
| Travis Kelce to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points2 | Positional Finishes | — | — | — | — | |
| Terry McLaurin to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver twenty four overall, right now, fifty fifth)3 | Sleeper Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Travis Kelce to finish top 7 at his position, by fantasy points4 | Positional Finishes | — | — | — | — | |
| David Montgomery to be 1st on the depth chart5 | Depth Chart Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| David Montgomery to finish top 24 at his position, by fantasy points6 | Positional Finishes | — | — | — | — | |
| Derrick Henry to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points7 | Positional Finishes | — | — | — | — | |
| Terry McLaurin to finish top 15 at his position, by fantasy points8 | Positional Finishes | — | — | — | — | |
| 8 calls · 8 waiting | — | — | ||||
How each call scored
8 checkable claims — 6 positional finishes, 1 depth chart call and 1 sleeper call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.
Of the 7 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 3 and below it on 4.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Where this call stands in the room
David Montgomery · 2026 season7 calls from 6 pundits between 1 and 1. Derek Brown said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Their call against the record
positional finishTheir call against what actually happened last time. Not yet settled.
1Positional FinishesDerrick HenryBaltimore Ravens
Derrick Henry to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
2Positional FinishesTravis KelceKansas City Chiefs
Travis Kelce to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
3Sleeper CallsTerry McLaurinWashington Commanders
Terry McLaurin to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver twenty four overall, right now, fifty fifth)
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
4Positional FinishesTravis KelceKansas City Chiefs
Travis Kelce to finish top 7 at his position, by fantasy points
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
5Depth Chart CallsDavid MontgomeryHouston Texans
David Montgomery to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
6Positional FinishesDavid MontgomeryHouston Texans
David Montgomery to finish top 24 at his position, by fantasy points
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
7Positional FinishesDerrick HenryBaltimore Ravens
Derrick Henry to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
8Positional FinishesTerry McLaurinWashington Commanders
Terry McLaurin to finish top 15 at his position, by fantasy points
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10.John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picked seven Week 10 games with final scores, including a Commanders upset of the Giants, Lions over the Patriots in Munich, Chiefs over the Falcons, Packers edging the Vikings, 49ers over the Cowboys, Bengals over the Steelers and Ravens over the Chargers. They also suggested Joe Burrow could win MVP this season.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Gilberto Manzano · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Manzano picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Browns, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.
More positional finishes
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Nick Wright · Positional Finishes · Puka Nacua · Close 75
Nick Wright picked the Ravens to beat Houston this weekend even with Lamar Jackson possibly out (leaning on Derrick Henry and Cooper Rush), the Chiefs to win in Jacksonville, and the Rams to beat the 49ers on Thursday night. They also laid out an AFC playoff field of Bills, Steelers, Chiefs, Chargers and Colts, projected the Chiefs' receiver pecking order once Rashee Rice returns, and called Justin Jefferson the best receiver in football with Puka Nacua a top-five receiver.Rich Hribar · Positional Finishes · Matthew Stafford · Hit 100
Hribar published their 2023 fantasy football quarterback tiers, ordering 41 quarterbacks into eight tiers that reflect how they prioritize drafting the position, with Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes in the top tier as the trio most likely to finish as the overall QB1.Chris Brockman · Positional Finishes · Jaxon Smith-Njigba · Hit 100
Brockman argued Jaxon Smith-Njigba is already the best receiver in the NFL and deserves to be the highest paid, called their shot that three quarterbacks (Mendoza, Ty Simpson, Carson Beck) go in the first round with Mendoza first overall, and suggested New England is headed for a 7-10 season.Pat Gustavson · Positional Finishes · Bijan Robinson · Close 75
Gustafson picks the Patriots, Bills, Seahawks and Bears in the divisional round with a Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl, predicts Mike Tomlin and Matt LaFleur stay, Aaron Rodgers returns to Pittsburgh, and lays out their own coaching landing spots.Rich Eisen · Positional Finishes · George Pickens · Hit 100
Eisen called the Rams-winning-it-all take an overreaction but expects Los Angeles to win the NFC West, said they don't see how Myles Garrett fails to win Defensive Player of the Year, and called George Pickens perhaps the third-best receiver in the NFL this season.