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Season Win Totals

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
960
Graded
284

30% settled

Average accuracy
49.1

out of 100

Pundits
146

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
91 scored 80+98 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

284 / 960

graded

676 still pending

By season

  • 20221 of 2 graded
  • 202333 of 34 graded
  • 20249 of 10 graded
  • 2025241 of 261 graded
  • 20260 of 653 graded

Who is good at season win totals

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every season win totals take

626–650 of 960

  • PendingChad MillmanSeason Win Totals2026 season

    Denver Broncos to finish with 9.5 wins

    Denver nine and a half, I'll take the over... I think that Sean Payton is good enough coach that a ten and seventeen with this talent is not at all inconceivable to me.

    Denver Broncos

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 19, 2026the article →
  • PendingSimon HunterSeason Win Totals2026 season

    Minnesota Vikings to finish with 8.5 wins

    I don't hate the if you're taking the over because it's plus one ten at a hard rock eight and a half... So yeah, I like that overplay.

    Minnesota Vikings

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 19, 2026the article →
  • PendingChad MillmanSeason Win Totals2026 season

    Washington Commanders to finish with 7.5 wins

    Washington seven and a half, I'd go with the over there... Daniels is back for a full season, and their defense can only get better

    Washington Commanders

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 19, 2026the article →
  • PendingSimon HunterSeason Win Totals2026 season

    Denver Broncos to finish with 9.5 wins

    this is one of my bigger, bigger bets I've made before this offseason taken they're over... I think they're another team to get to eleven twelve wins

    Denver Broncos

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 19, 2026the article →
  • PendingSimon HunterSeason Win Totals2026 season

    Buffalo Bills to finish with 10.5 wins

    And just like the Bills. This is one of my bigger, bigger bets I've made before this offseason taken they're over.

    Buffalo Bills

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 19, 2026the article →
  • PendingChad MillmanSeason Win Totals2026 season

    Carolina Panthers to finish with 6.5 wins

    I also took Carolina over six and a half. I believe you called that quote a trap unquote

    Carolina Panthers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 19, 2026the article →
  • PendingChad MillmanSeason Win Totals2026 season

    Atlanta Falcons to finish with 7.5 wins

    Atlanta seven and a half, I'm gonna go with the I'm going with the over.

    Atlanta Falcons

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 19, 2026the article →
  • PendingSimon HunterSeason Win Totals2026 season

    New England Patriots to finish with 9.5 wins

    I really wanted to be on the under. Now I'm leaving more to the over because it's just man, that division is going to be so bad.

    New England Patriots

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 19, 2026the article →
  • PendingJP AcostaSeason Win Totals2026 season

    Minnesota Vikings to finish with 12 wins

    the one team that isn't in the in that tier, we said earlier is the Minnesota Vikings, who could win 12 games with Kyler Murray as their quarterback

    Minnesota Vikings

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 18, 2026the article →
  • PendingRich EisenSeason Win Totals2026 season

    Carolina Panthers to finish with ? wins

    that should get them above 500 at the very least

    Carolina Panthers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 16, 2026the article →
  • PendingChris BrockmanSeason Win Totals2026 season

    New England Patriots to finish with 10 wins

    Patriots have this first place schedule extremely difficult. Knock they're not gonna win 14 games. Let's let's just be honest about it. Maybe maybe 10.

    New England Patriots

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 16, 2026the article →
  • PendingDaniel JeremiahSeason Win Totals2026 season

    Las Vegas Raiders to finish with 6 wins

    that's a team that won three games. Buck they're going to double their wind hole. That's what's confident in saying at least they're going to double their wind hole.

    Las Vegas Raiders

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 13, 2026the article →
  • PendingChris BrockmanSeason Win Totals2026 season

    Las Vegas Raiders to finish with 10 wins

    Raider nation is gonna be sniffing playoffs this year. Better than the Cowboys. 10 wins. Book it.

    Las Vegas Raiders

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 10, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals2026 season

    Denver Broncos to finish with 11 wins

    So it's like, I'd be a little shocking, right if they didn't win eleven twelve games again next year.

    Denver Broncos

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 9, 2026the article →
  • PendingJohn MiddlekauffSeason Win Totals2026 season

    New Orleans Saints to finish with 10 wins

    So I could see the Saints being my team this year that wins like ten games the division right there.

    New Orleans Saints

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 9, 2026the article →
  • PendingSimon HunterSeason Win Totals2026 season

    Denver Broncos to finish with 10 wins

    Denver nine and a half... to me, that is a bad, bad number by the sports books... denver and the over you like that a lot

    Denver Broncos

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 4, 2026the article →
  • PendingChad MillmanSeason Win Totals2026 season

    Carolina Panthers to finish with 7 wins

    The Carolina panthers over six and a half in THE Nfc South

    Carolina Panthers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 4, 2026the article →
  • PendingChad MillmanSeason Win Totals2026 season

    San Francisco 49ers to finish with 11 wins

    Stepsisco ten and a half plus one twenty five to the over Simon one two three over under.

    San Francisco 49ers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 4, 2026the article →
  • PendingChad MillmanSeason Win Totals2026 season

    Buffalo Bills to finish with 11 wins

    Buffo Bills minus ten and a half. One two three. ... you'll be like, Okay, I should invest heavily into this over.

    Buffalo Bills

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 4, 2026the article →
  • PendingChad MillmanSeason Win Totals2026 season

    Seattle Seahawks to finish with 11 wins

    Seattle, seahawks the world champions ten and a half ... my bet is entirely on the defensive side of the ball

    Seattle Seahawks

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 4, 2026the article →
  • PendingChad MillmanSeason Win Totals2026 season

    Green Bay Packers to finish with 11 wins

    Green Bay ten and a half one two three over over.

    Green Bay Packers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 4, 2026the article →
  • PendingSimon HunterSeason Win Totals2026 season

    Green Bay Packers to finish with 11 wins

    Green Bay ten and a half one two three over over.

    Green Bay Packers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 4, 2026the article →
  • PendingSimon HunterSeason Win Totals2026 season

    Philadelphia Eagles to finish with 11 wins

    I liked there were both lean into the over for them.

    Philadelphia Eagles

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 4, 2026the article →
  • PendingSimon HunterSeason Win Totals2026 season

    Los Angeles Chargers to finish with 11 wins

    So this one I lean to the over. I'm not going to force bet here on the Chargers, though.

    Los Angeles Chargers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 4, 2026the article →
  • PendingChad MillmanSeason Win Totals2026 season

    Philadelphia Eagles to finish with 11 wins

    the Philadelphia Eagles ten and a half plus money at the ten and a half minus at the under one two three over over.

    Philadelphia Eagles

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Mar 4, 2026the article →

By sport

NFL — season win totals (307 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.