Simon HunterMar 19, 2026
Simon liked the over on Minnesota (with Kyler motivated in a contract year), Buffalo, Tennessee, Denver, Jacksonville and leaned to the over on New England, and called CeeDee Lamb a top-five receiver.
Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original
What Simon Hunter said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromSo yeah, I like that overplay.
- Where it was said
- The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)
- The episode
- Sharp or Square - NFL SEASON WIN TOTALS Part 2
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- 1New England Patriots to finish with 9.5 wins“I really wanted to be on the under. Now I'm leaving more to the over because it's just man, that division is going to be so bad.”
- 2Minnesota Vikings to finish with 8.5 wins“I don't hate the if you're taking the over because it's plus one ten at a hard rock eight and a half... So yeah, I like that overplay.”
- 3CeeDee Lamb to finish top 5 at his position, by an unstated measure“And you know CD just like last year... overall he's what a top five receiver”
- 4Tennessee Titans to finish with 6.5 wins“so I would take the over. I agree with the pros early bet on that one”
- 5Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 9.5 wins“if I believe in the coach, if I believe in the quarterback, it's hard for me to take their unders, especially in such a bad division”
- 6Buffalo Bills to finish with 10.5 wins“And just like the Bills. This is one of my bigger, bigger bets I've made before this offseason taken they're over.”
- 7Denver Broncos to finish with 9.5 wins“this is one of my bigger, bigger bets I've made before this offseason taken they're over... I think they're another team to get to eleven twelve wins”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Patriots to finish with 9.5 wins1 | Season Win Totals | — | — | — | — | |
| Minnesota Vikings to finish with 8.5 wins2 | Season Win Totals | — | — | — | — | |
| CeeDee Lamb to finish top 5 at his position, by an unstated measure3 | Positional Finishes | — | — | — | — | |
| Tennessee Titans to finish with 6.5 wins4 | Season Win Totals | — | — | — | — | |
| Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 9.5 wins5 | Season Win Totals | — | — | — | — | |
| Buffalo Bills to finish with 10.5 wins6 | Season Win Totals | — | — | — | — | |
| Denver Broncos to finish with 9.5 wins7 | Season Win Totals | — | — | — | — | |
| 7 calls · 7 waiting | — | — | ||||
How each call scored
7 checkable claims — 6 season win totals and 1 positional finish — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.
Of the 7 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 2 and below it on 5.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Where this call stands in the room
Jacksonville Jaguars · 2026 season · wins4 calls from 4 pundits between 9.5 wins and 13 wins. Simon Hunter said 9.5 wins. the room's median is 10 wins. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Their call against the room
winsTheir call against everyone else's, while this is still unsettled.
1Season Win TotalsNew England Patriots
New England Patriots to finish with 9.5 wins
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
2Season Win TotalsMinnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings to finish with 8.5 wins
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
3Positional FinishesCeeDee LambDallas Cowboys
CeeDee Lamb to finish top 5 at his position, by an unstated measure
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
4Season Win TotalsTennessee Titans
Tennessee Titans to finish with 6.5 wins
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
5Season Win TotalsJacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 9.5 wins
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
6Season Win TotalsBuffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills to finish with 10.5 wins
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
7Season Win TotalsDenver Broncos
Denver Broncos to finish with 9.5 wins
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role.Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots.Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick.Chad Jensen · Roster Spot Calls · Jordan Turner · Miss 0
Jensen predicts Daiyan Henley's arrival will cut into Justin Strnad's snaps while Alex Singleton keeps playing virtually every down, and that Denver will return to a three-linebacker rotation after the Week 10 bye. They also expect one of Jordan Turner or Karene Reid — most likely Turner — to be waived to clear a roster spot.
More season win totals
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · Chicago Bears · Hit 100
Nick Wright lays out their season win-total picks (overs on Jaguars, Bears, Chiefs, Buccaneers, Raiders, Falcons; unders on Bengals, Colts, Broncos, Cowboys, Vikings, 49ers), playoff berth and miss calls, three division winners, a Chiefs-over-Buccaneers Super Bowl exacta, and five Week 1 picks.Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · Baltimore Ravens · Miss 0
Nick Wright predicts Shedeur Sanders stays behind Dylan Gabriel on the Browns depth chart, forecasts a season where Flacco is benched a third of the way in, Gabriel then fails, Shedeur then fails, and Cleveland drafts a quarterback next year. They also make a long list of win-total, playoff and division calls across the AFC North and beyond.Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · Kansas City Chiefs · Miss 0
In part two of their gambling show, Nick Wright ran through NFC (and recapped AFC) win-total picks, division winners and make/miss-the-playoffs bets, backing the Chiefs, Jaguars, Raiders, Bears, Buccaneers and Falcons to clear their totals while predicting Commanders, Bucs and Rams division titles.Gregg Rosenthal · Season Win Totals · New Orleans Saints · Miss 0
Rosenthal's under picks and a few freebie leans: Colts under 7.5 (possibly the worst team), Commanders under 9.5, Saints under 5.5 (possibly 2-15), Bears under 8.5, plus stated likes on Dolphins under 8.5, Giants over 5.5 and Ravens over 11.5.Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · San Francisco 49ers · Miss 0
Wright's under picks: Broncos under 9.5, 49ers under 10.5, Cowboys under 8, Bengals under 9.5 with Cincinnati missing the playoffs and Zac Taylor fired.Gregg Rosenthal · Season Win Totals · Detroit Lions · Miss 0
Rosenthal made a series of over/under win-total picks: Lions over 10.5, Colts under 7.5, Vikings over 8.5, Jets over 5.5, Cowboys over 7.5 (and over 8 in a side challenge), Commanders under 9.5, Saints under 5.5, Bears under 8.5. They also predicted the Cowboys win 10 games and make the playoffs, and the Jets go 7-10.