Chad MillmanMar 4, 2026
Millman leaned under on several 10.5-win totals (Ravens, Lions, Chiefs, Rams, Seahawks) and over on Bills, Packers, Eagles and 49ers, plus he took the Panthers over 6.5 wins as his 'Chad's Choice.'
Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original
What Chad Millman said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromWhy wouldn't I take the over six and a half with Carolina Panthers?
- Where it was said
- The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)
- The episode
- Sharp or Square - EARLY 2026 NFL SEASON WIN TOTALS - Part 1
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
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The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- 1Green Bay Packers to finish with 11 wins“Green Bay ten and a half one two three over over.”
- 2Seattle Seahawks to finish with 11 wins“Seattle, seahawks the world champions ten and a half ... my bet is entirely on the defensive side of the ball”
- 3Carolina Panthers to finish with 7 wins“The Carolina panthers over six and a half in THE Nfc South”
- 4San Francisco 49ers to finish with 11 wins“Stepsisco ten and a half plus one twenty five to the over Simon one two three over under.”
- 5Buffalo Bills to finish with 11 wins“Buffo Bills minus ten and a half. One two three. ... you'll be like, Okay, I should invest heavily into this over.”
- 6San Francisco 49ers to win the division“If they stay healthy, then they can do everything they need to do to win this division.”
- 7Philadelphia Eagles to finish with 11 wins“the Philadelphia Eagles ten and a half plus money at the ten and a half minus at the under one two three over over.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers to finish with 11 wins1 | Season Win Totals | — | — | — | — | |
| Seattle Seahawks to finish with 11 wins2 | Season Win Totals | — | — | — | — | |
| Carolina Panthers to finish with 7 wins3 | Season Win Totals | — | — | — | — | |
| San Francisco 49ers to finish with 11 wins4 | Season Win Totals | — | — | — | — | |
| Buffalo Bills to finish with 11 wins5 | Season Win Totals | — | — | — | — | |
| San Francisco 49ers to win the division6 | Division Winners | — | — | — | — | |
| Philadelphia Eagles to finish with 11 wins7 | Season Win Totals | — | — | — | — | |
| 7 calls · 7 waiting | — | — | ||||
How each call scored
7 checkable claims — 6 season win totals and 1 division winner — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.
Of the 6 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 3 and below it on 3.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Where this call stands in the room
Philadelphia Eagles · 2026 season · wins7 calls from 7 pundits between 8 wins and 12 wins. Chad Millman said 11 wins. the room's median is 10 wins. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Their call against the room
winsTheir call against everyone else's, while this is still unsettled.
1Season Win TotalsGreen Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers to finish with 11 wins
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
2Season Win TotalsSeattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks to finish with 11 wins
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
3Season Win TotalsCarolina Panthers
Carolina Panthers to finish with 7 wins
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
4Season Win TotalsSan Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers to finish with 11 wins
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
5Season Win TotalsBuffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills to finish with 11 wins
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
6Division WinnersSan Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers to win the division
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
7Season Win TotalsPhiladelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles to finish with 11 wins
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Prisco picked the Bills to win 21-14 at Minnesota.John Breech · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Breech picked the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night by a score of 24-17.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 62
Dajani picked the Bills to edge the Vikings 24-23.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 74
Dubin picked Buffalo to win a low-scoring Monday night game in Minnesota, 20-14.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Sullivan picked the Bills to beat the Vikings 24-17.
More season win totals
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · Chicago Bears · Hit 100
Nick Wright lays out their season win-total picks (overs on Jaguars, Bears, Chiefs, Buccaneers, Raiders, Falcons; unders on Bengals, Colts, Broncos, Cowboys, Vikings, 49ers), playoff berth and miss calls, three division winners, a Chiefs-over-Buccaneers Super Bowl exacta, and five Week 1 picks.Damonza Byrd · Season Win Totals · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Nick Wright's co-host picks the Jaguars over as their favorite of the six over bets and calls the Baltimore/Buffalo division-winner parlay a safe one.Gregg Rosenthal · Season Win Totals · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Rosenthal's Week 1 picks: the Giants win at Washington, the Lions beat the Packers, and the Jaguars beat the Panthers; they also like the Jets over the Steelers and the Dolphins over the Colts, and expects Jacksonville to clear 7.5 wins.Gregg Rosenthal · Season Win Totals · Dallas Cowboys · Miss 0
Rosenthal expects a high-scoring Eagles-Cowboys kickoff game, guesses a scoreline around 41-27, still believes Dallas can clear its win total and reach the playoffs, likes the Giants to beat expectations with Jackson Dart taking over as starter early.Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · Baltimore Ravens · Miss 0
Nick Wright predicts Shedeur Sanders stays behind Dylan Gabriel on the Browns depth chart, forecasts a season where Flacco is benched a third of the way in, Gabriel then fails, Shedeur then fails, and Cleveland drafts a quarterback next year. They also make a long list of win-total, playoff and division calls across the AFC North and beyond.Nick Wright · Season Win Totals · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
In part two of their gambling show, Nick Wright ran through NFC (and recapped AFC) win-total picks, division winners and make/miss-the-playoffs bets, backing the Chiefs, Jaguars, Raiders, Bears, Buccaneers and Falcons to clear their totals while predicting Commanders, Bucs and Rams division titles.