2024 U.S. House election in New York's district 22
House · November 5, 2024 · certified
The ballot
The deciding round's shares, from the certified result.
- John Mannion (Democratic)Won54.6%
- Brandon M. Williams (Republican, incumbent)45.4%
John Mannion by 9.2 points in the general · held by the Republican party going in · flipped · source: wikipedia-2024-house
The field, week by week
Each pundit's latest pick as of each week's end, so a bar is the room as it stood that week — not how many calls were made.
What the field called
Who the pundits on record picked to win, most picked first.
- John Mannion3 picks · won
Every claim about this race (3)
Newest first. A grade appears once the result is certified and the claim is scored.
Sam Wang: John Mannion wins NY-22 House seat (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. House election in New York's district 22 · the take
Hit · 100Lakshya Jain: John Mannion wins NY-22 House seat (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. House election in New York's district 22 · the take
Hit · 100Jacob Rubashkin: John Mannion wins NY-22 House seat (2024) — “lean democratic”
Race Winners · Oct 25, 2024 · 2024 U.S. House election in New York's district 22 · the take
Hit · 100