2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election
Governors · November 3, 2026 · not yet held
The ballot
- Andrea James (Independent)—
- Maura Healey (Democratic, incumbent)—
- Mike Minogue (Republican)—
Beside the pundits
Two outside readings of the same race, never graded: what the market prices and what the polls average. The pundits' calls are read against them, not scored by them.
The market · Polymarket · October 3, 2026
- Maura Healey96¢
- Mike Minogue3¢
A price in cents is the market's probability. Prices move; this is the day's close as we read it.
The polls · VoteHub · 1 poll in 21 days · through September 22, 2026
- Mike Minogue30.0%
- Andrea James3.0%
Mike Minogue by 27.0 on average. The latest poll from each pollster in the window, averaged line by line; sponsors and partisan polls are listed below so a reader can weigh them.
The 12 most recent polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| MassINC Polling Group · for CommonWealth Beacon | 2026-09-14 – 2026-09-22 | 800 LV | Maura Healy 51% · Mike Minogue 30% · Andrea James 3% |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-08-20 – 2026-08-24 | 881 LV | Maura Healy 54% · Mike Minogue 30% |
| University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov · for WCVB-TV | 2026-08-05 – 2026-08-12 | 800 RV | Maura Healy 53% · Brian Shortsleeve 33% |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-06-18 – 2026-06-23 | 623 LV | Maura Healy 51% · Mike Minogue 32% |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-06-18 – 2026-06-23 | 623 LV | Maura Healy 50% · Brian Shortsleeve 32% |
| Suffolk University · for The Boston Globe | 2026-06-08 – 2026-06-12 | 500 RV | Maura Healey 56% · Mike Minogue 31% |
| Suffolk University · for The Boston Globe | 2026-06-08 – 2026-06-12 | 500 RV | Maura Healey 56% · Brian Shortsleeve 29% |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-04-16 – 2026-04-20 | 597 LV | Maura Healey 53% · Mike Kennealy 32% |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-04-16 – 2026-04-20 | 599 LV | Maura Healey 52% · Mike Minogue 32% |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-04-16 – 2026-04-20 | 603 LV | Maura Healey 51% · Brian Shortsleeve 29% |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-02-12 – 2026-02-16 | 620 LV | Maura Healey 55% · Mike Kennealy 28% |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-02-12 – 2026-02-16 | 620 LV | Maura Healey 56% · Mike Minogue 27% |
What the field called
Who the pundits on record picked to win, most picked first.
- Maura Healey2 picks
Every claim about this race (2)
Newest first. A grade appears once the result is certified and the claim is scored.
Chuck Todd: Maura Healey wins MA governorship (2026)
Race Winners · Sep 28, 2026 · 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election · the take
PendingChuck Todd: Maura Healey wins MA governorship (2026)
Race Winners · Sep 28, 2026 · 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election · the take
Pending