2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election
Governors · November 3, 2026 · not yet held
The ballot
- Charles Van Morgan (Independent)—
- David Hatley (Independent)—
- Dean Brewer (Independent)—
- Eddie Lee Murphy (Independent)—
- Jerri Green (Democratic)—
- Karl Smithson (Independent)—
- L. Webb Taylor (Independent)—
- Lauren Pinkston (Independent)—
- Marsha Blackburn (Republican)—
- Misam Abidi (Independent)—
- Ray Brown (Independent)—
- Robert Vick (Independent)—
- Santiago Asconape (Independent)—
- Taylor Hafley (Independent)—
- Wendell Jackson (Independent)—
Beside the pundits
Two outside readings of the same race, never graded: what the market prices and what the polls average. The pundits' calls are read against them, not scored by them.
The polls · VoteHub · 1 poll in 21 days · through September 12, 2026
- Marsha Blackburn45.0%
- Jerri Green36.0%
- David Hatley19.0%
- Lauren Pinkston2.0%
Marsha Blackburn by 9.0 on average. The latest poll from each pollster in the window, averaged line by line; sponsors and partisan polls are listed below so a reader can weigh them.
The 4 most recent polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| TargetSmart (DEM) · for The Progress Fund | 2026-09-09 – 2026-09-12 | 600 LV | Marsha Blackburn 45% · Jerri Green 36% · David Hatley 19% · Lauren Pinkston 2% |
| Targoz Market Research · for Beacon Center of Tennessee | 2026-08-15 – 2026-08-26 | 1149 RV | Marsha Blackburn 46% · Jerri Green 33% · Independent 8% |
| Targoz Market Research · for Beacon Center | 2026-04-20 – 2026-04-27 | 1157 RV | Marsha Blackburn 51% · Jerri Green 27% |
| Quantus Insights (REP) | 2025-08-05 – 2025-08-07 | 600 RV | Marsha Blackburn 49% · Jerri Green 28% |
Every claim about this race (0)
Newest first. A grade appears once the result is certified and the claim is scored.
No approved claim names this race yet.