2026 U.S. Senate election in Mississippi
Senate · November 3, 2026 · no result loaded yet
The ballot
- Cindy Hyde-Smith (Republican, incumbent)—
- Scott Colom (Democratic)—
- Ty Pinkins (Independent)—
Beside the pundits
Two outside readings of the same race, never graded: what the market prices and what the polls average. The pundits' calls are read against them, not scored by them.
The market · Polymarket · November 3, 2026
- Cindy Hyde-Smith87¢
- Scott Colom14¢
A price in cents is the market's probability. This is the last price we read before the polls closed; prices taken after the vote are not shown. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any market or sportsbook. Not betting or financial advice.
The polls · VoteHub · 1 poll in 21 days · through October 14, 2026
- Cindy Hyde-Smith52.0%
- Scott Colom48.0%
Cindy Hyde-Smith by 4.0 on average. The latest poll from each pollster in the window, averaged line by line; sponsors and partisan polls are listed below so a reader can weigh them.
The 3 most recent polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wedgewood Polls | 2026-10-12 – 2026-10-14 | 511 LV | Cindy Hyde-Smith 52% · Scott Colom 48% |
| Data for Progress (DEM) · for Way to Lead PAC | 2026-08-05 – 2026-08-15 | 1018 LV | Cindy Hyde-Smith 47% · Scott Colom 41% |
| Impact Research (DEM) · for SPLC Action Fund | 2026-04-08 – 2026-04-12 | 500 LV | Cindy Hyde-Smith 47% · Scott Colom 44% |
The field, week by week
Each pundit's latest pick as of each week's end, so a bar is the room as it stood that week — not how many calls were made.
What the field called
Who the pundits on record picked to win, most picked first.
- Cindy Hyde-Smith4 picks
Every claim about this race (4)
Newest first. A winner call is graded once the race is called and confirmed; a margin or share once the result is certified.
Erick-Woods Erickson: Cindy Hyde-Smith wins MS Senate (2026)
Race Winners · Nov 3, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Mississippi · the take
PendingMatthew Yglesias: Cindy Hyde-Smith wins MS Senate (2026)
Race Winners · Oct 26, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Mississippi · the take
PendingChuck Todd: Cindy Hyde-Smith wins MS Senate (2026)
Race Winners · Oct 22, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Mississippi · the take
PendingChris Cillizza: Cindy Hyde-Smith wins MS Senate (2026)
Race Winners · Oct 6, 2026 · 2026 U.S. Senate election in Mississippi · the take
Pending
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