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Casey AffleckJan 30, 2026

Affleck, a Patriots fan, predicts New England will win Super Bowl 60 as underdogs behind Drake Maye.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

50Close · out of 100
SEA won itWhat happenedpicked NE
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
50This callout of 100
+50Skillafter difficulty

What Casey Affleck said

I wanna I want to put energy into the underdogs, and the kid rising to the occasion. That's what I think is gonna happen.
Our reading: New England Patriots to win the Super Bowl
The episode
Hour 3: Bills HC Joe Brady, Rich’s Top 5, plus Oscar-Winning Actor Casey Affleck In-Studio
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidJan 30
  2. GradedAug 13

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 50 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Super Bowl PicksNew England Patriots

    New England Patriots to win the Super Bowl

    What happenedSEA won itpicked NE
    50Close · naive 0
    50this call0a naive guess50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    50
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

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