Greg JenningsFeb 6, 2026

In a taped segment, Jennings picked the Patriots to upset Seattle 24-20 for their seventh Lombardi Trophy.

Said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 2calls landed1 close call · 1 miss · all settled

35.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls

8.4A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

2 of 2Settlednone still waiting

0Waitingnot graded yet

What Greg Jennings said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

I got the patriots defeating and upsetting the Seattle Seahawks 2420 hoisting again their seventh Lombardi trophy.

Greg Jennings, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: First Things First (podcast)
The episode: Super Bowl LX preview, Matthew Stafford wins MVP, 2026 HOF Class, Upset Alert & Nick’s Picks
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidFeb 6
GradedAug 14

1New England Patriots 24 — Seattle Seahawks 20“I got the patriots defeating and upsetting the Seattle Seahawks 2420”
2New England Patriots to win the Super Bowl“hoisting again their seventh Lombardi trophy”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
New England Patriots 24 — Seattle Seahawks 20¹	Score Predictions	—	21.43	16.73	+4.7
New England Patriots to win the Super Bowl²	Super Bowl Picks	SEA won it	50	0	+50
2 calls · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled			35.7	8.4

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 score prediction and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

All 2 have settled, averaging 35.7 out of 100, against 8.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Score Predictions New England Patriots
New England Patriots 24 — Seattle Seahawks 20
VerdictMiss
21.43Miss · naive 16.73
21.43this call16.73a naive guess4.7better than naive1difficulty+4.7skill
Closing line (Feb 8): Seahawks by 4.5, total 45.5 · this 24–20 calls a Patriots win (by 4; the line gave the Patriots about 1 in 3 (32%)) and fewer points (44).
How this was scored
score:
29-13
skill:
4.7
they picked:
NE
season:
2025
accuracy:
21.43
baseline:
16.73
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
16
weeks left when called:
0
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
4
Think this is wrong?
2Super Bowl Picks New England Patriots
New England Patriots to win the Super Bowl
What happenedSEA won itpicked NE
50Close · naive 0
50this call0a naive guess50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
How this was scored
skill:
50
they picked:
NE
season:
2025
accuracy:
50
baseline:
0
champion:
SEA
runner up:
NE
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
35.7naive 8.4