Kevin Wildes#47 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 6, 2026

Wildes picked the Patriots to upset the Seahawks in the Super Bowl by a score of 28-16, arguing New England's defense is better than Seattle's and that the game is priced wrong.

Said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 2calls landed2 close calls · all settled

45.2Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls

8.4A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

2 of 2Settlednone still waiting

#47Kevin Wildes’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Kevin Wildes said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

My I'm going twenty eight, sixteen Patriots over Seahawks.

Kevin Wildes, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: First Things First (podcast)
The episode: Super Bowl LX preview, Matthew Stafford wins MVP, 2026 HOF Class, Upset Alert & Nick’s Picks
The original: Hear the original
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SaidFeb 6
GradedAug 14

1New England Patriots 28 — Seahawks 16“My I'm going twenty eight, sixteen Patriots over Seahawks.”
2New England Patriots to win the Super Bowl“I'm I'm gonna go for the Patriots. ... So I agree with your friend that it's price priced wrong, and I am still confident.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
New England Patriots 28 — Seahawks 16¹	Score Predictions	—	40.48	16.73	+23.74
New England Patriots to win the Super Bowl²	Super Bowl Picks	SEA won it	50	0	+50
2 calls · 2 close calls · all settled			45.2	8.4

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 score prediction and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

All 2 have settled, averaging 45.2 out of 100, against 8.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Score Predictions New England Patriots
New England Patriots 28 — Seahawks 16
VerdictClose
40.48Close · naive 16.73
40.48this call16.73a naive guess23.75better than naive1difficulty+23.74skill
Closing line (Feb 8): Seahawks by 4.5, total 45.5 · this 28–16 calls a Patriots win (by 12; the line gave the Patriots about 1 in 3 (32%)) and fewer points (44).
How this was scored
score:
29-13
skill:
23.74
they picked:
NE
season:
2025
accuracy:
40.48
baseline:
16.73
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
16
weeks left when called:
0
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
12
Think this is wrong?
2Super Bowl Picks New England Patriots
New England Patriots to win the Super Bowl
What happenedSEA won itpicked NE
50Close · naive 0
50this call0a naive guess50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
How this was scored
skill:
50
they picked:
NE
season:
2025
accuracy:
50
baseline:
0
champion:
SEA
runner up:
NE
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
45.2naive 8.4