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Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 29, 2026

While running through their Super Bowl 60 storyline rankings, Eisen asserted that Drake Maye will become the youngest quarterback ever to win a Super Bowl, i.e. that the Patriots will win Super Bowl 60.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

50Close · out of 100
SEA won itWhat happenedpicked NE
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
50This callout of 100
#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

As a matter of fact, he's gonna bust every norm and become the youngest kid to ever win the Super Bowl at quarterback.
Our reading: New England Patriots to win the Super Bowl
The episode
Hour 3: Power Ranking Super Bowl LX’s Top Storylines, plus Actor Ted McGinley In-Studio
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidJan 29
  2. GradedAug 13

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 50 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Super Bowl PicksNew England Patriots

    New England Patriots to win the Super Bowl

    What happenedSEA won itpicked NE
    50Close · naive 0
    50this call0a naive guess50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    50
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

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