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Mike Renner#28 of 87 NFL pundits · Apr 8, 2026

Brenner ranks the 2026 draft's position groups from weakest to strongest and makes several individual draft-slot calls, including Jeremiah Love as a top-five pick, Arvell Reese first edge off the board at No. 2 to the Jets, first-round grades for the top safeties and five receivers, and Sonny Styles going in the top five.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Pushing the Pile (podcast)Hear the original

10 of 11calls landed10 hits · 1 miss · 2 waiting
91.6Average accuracyout of 100, across 11 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
11 of 13Settled2 still waiting
#28Mike Renner’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Mike Renner said

You got Jeremiah Love, who's got to go probably top 10, more than likely top five at this point.
Mike Renner, the lead quote
The episode
Ranking EVERY 2026 NFL Draft Position Group From Worst To Best
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidApr 8
  2. GradedOct 1

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Mock Draft Picks10010
Position Order Calls0001
Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0001
All10012

How each call scored

13 checkable claims — 11 mock draft picks, 1 position order call and 1 pro bowl and all-pro call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 13 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

11 of 13 have settled so far, averaging 91.6 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
first round (picks 1–32)They said
58What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Mock Draft Picks10 hits · 1 missShow ▸
  1. Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    “Caleb Downs from Ohio State, Emmanuel McNeil Warren from Toledo... These are first round safeties for my money.”

    Emmanuel McNeil-Warren

    Went 58
    32.42Miss
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    32.42
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    58
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    32.42
    predicted pick:
    first round (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Caleb Downs to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    “Caleb Downs from Ohio State, Emmanuel McNeil Warren from Toledo... These are first round safeties for my money.”

    Caleb Downs

    Went 11
    100Hit
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Caleb Downs
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    11
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    first round (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Jeremiyah Love to be picked “probably top 10, more than likely top five” (picks 1–10)

    “You got Jeremiah Love, who's got to go probably top 10, more than likely top five at this point.”

    Jeremiyah Love

    Went 3
    100Hit
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Jeremiyah Love
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    3
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    probably top 10, more than likely top five (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Jordyn Tyson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    “whether it's, you know, Jordan Tyson, McKay Lemmon, Carmel Tate, Omar Cooper Junior, and Casey Concepcion. Those five, I I all expect to go first round. I expect them to be the first five off the board in some order”

    Jordyn Tyson

    Went 8
    100Hit
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Jordyn Tyson
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    8
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    first round (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2

    “with Arvell Reese, who's the top guy on the board, obviously, for a lot of people who's probably gonna be the first one drafted at number two to the Jets”

    Arvell ReeseNew York Jets

    Went 5mocked at 2
    87.81Hit
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Arvell Reese
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    87.81
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    5
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    87.81
    predicted pick:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  6. Jadarian Price to be picked “somewhere in the second round” (picks 33–64)

    “You got Jadarian Price's teammate who's going to come off the board somewhere in the second round.”

    Jadarian Price

    Went 32
    95.76Hit
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Jadarian Price
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    32
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    somewhere in the second round (picks 33–64)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  7. Makai Lemon to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    “Jordan Tyson, McKay Lemmon, Carmel Tate, Omar Cooper Junior, and Casey Concepcion. Those five, I I all expect to go first round.”

    Makai Lemon

    Went 20
    100Hit
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Makai Lemon
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    20
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    first round (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  8. Sonny Styles to be picked “top five” (picks 1–5)

    “So where he comes off the board, if it's top five, will be the first time since 2019, and I think he will.”

    Sonny Styles

    Went 7
    91.7Hit
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Sonny Styles
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    7
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    top five (picks 1–5)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  9. K.C. Concepcion to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    “Jordan Tyson, McKay Lemmon, Carmel Tate, Omar Cooper Junior, and Casey Concepcion. Those five, I I all expect to go first round.”

    K.C. Concepcion

    Went 24
    100Hit
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    K.C. Concepcion
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    24
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    first round (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  10. Carnell Tate to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    “Jordan Tyson, McKay Lemmon, Carmel Tate, Omar Cooper Junior, and Casey Concepcion. Those five, I I all expect to go first round.”

    Carnell Tate

    Went 4
    100Hit
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Carnell Tate
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    4
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    first round (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  11. Omar Cooper to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    “Jordan Tyson, McKay Lemmon, Carmel Tate, Omar Cooper Junior, and Casey Concepcion. Those five, I I all expect to go first round.”

    Omar Cooper

    Went 30
    100Hit
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Omar Cooper
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    30
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    first round (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
Position Order Calls1 waitingShow ▸
  1. Arvell Reese to be 1st edge off the board

    “who's probably gonna be the first one drafted at number two to the Jets”

    Arvell Reese

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls1 waitingShow ▸
  1. Francis Mauigoa to make Pro Bowl

    “I think Maui Noah truly, like, in a phone move is special. I think he will be a Pro Bowl guard.”

    Francis Mauigoa

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

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