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Jordan Dajani#23 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 26, 2026

Dajani picked the Cowboys to beat the Eagles 26-20 on Monday night.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

74Close · out of 100
Cowboys 38–21What happenedcalled Cowboys by 6 · won by 17
8.32A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
73.81This callout of 100
#23Jordan Dajani’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jordan Dajani said

Jordan Dajani's pick: Cowboys 26-20 over Eagles
Our reading: Dallas Cowboys 26 — Eagles 20
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
Pick Six: 10 crazy stats from NFL's Week 7, plus Cowboys-Eagles picks for Monday night
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidOct 26
  2. PlayedOct 26
  3. GradedOct 27

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 73.8 out of 100, against 8.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Score PredictionsDallas Cowboys

    Dallas Cowboys 26 — Eagles 20

    What happenedCowboys 38–21called Cowboys by 6 · won by 17
    73.81Close · naive 8.32
    73.81this call8.32a naive guess65.49better than naive1.67difficulty+109.36skill

    Closing line (Oct 26): Cowboys by 4.5, total 43.5 · this 26–20 calls a bigger Cowboys win (by 6) and more points (46).

    How this was scored
    score:
    38-21
    skill:
    109.36
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    73.81
    baseline:
    8.32
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    12
    naive home margin:
    −0.5
    predicted margin:
    6
    Think this is wrong?

The game in this take

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