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Ross Jackson#21 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 14, 2026

In a seven-round Saints mock draft for the 2026 NFL Draft, Ross Jackson has Ohio State safety Caleb Downs falling to New Orleans at No. 8 overall after two quarterbacks go 1-2, then lays out picks at 42, 73, round four, 137, 148, 170 and 189.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Saints (podcast)Hear the original

5 of 12picks landed5 hits · 2 close calls · 5 misses · 5 waiting
74.29The orderagainst a shuffled mock’s 50
+24.29Skillthe mock as a whole
57.6Per pickaverage, out of 100
#21Ross Jackson’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Ross Jackson said

the decision right off the bat... is Caleb Downs, the Ohio State safety at an array overall
Ross Jackson, the lead quote
The episode
MOCK DRAFT: New Orleans Saints Can Avoid DISASTER 2026 Draft With Caleb Downs First-Round Selection
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidJan 14
  2. GradedOct 1

Box score, round by round

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Round 11000
Round 20010
Round 30100
Round 40010
Round 50020
Round 60010
Picks 0–04105
All5255

How the mock scored

17 checkable claims — 17 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 20 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

12 of 17 have settled so far, averaging 57.6 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Mock against the draft

mock pick 1189 →1189UDFA
Across: where the mock put each player. Down: where the player went, with undrafted players (UDFA) on the bottom row. The shaded band is where a pick earns credit, within 32 picks. Squares landed, half-squares were close and slashes missed. Faint rules mark the rounds.

The mock as a whole

74.29this mock’s order50a shuffled mock24.29better than naive1difficulty+24.29skill

The skill comes from how well the whole mock ordered the draft, so it is not any one pick’s score minus 50.

Every pick’s score

0a pick’s naive guess: 50100

Think a pick here is graded wrong? Tell us which.

Draft board

HitCloseMissWaiting
Round 1 · picks 1–321 hitShow ▸
PickTeamPlayerPosWentVerdictScore
8NOCaleb Downssafety1188
Round 2 · picks 33–641 missShow ▸
PickTeamPlayerPosWentVerdictScore
42NOEmmanuel Pregnonoffensive lineman8814
Round 3 · picks 65–1001 close callShow ▸
PickTeamPlayerPosWentVerdictScore
73NOZachariah Branchwide receiver7977
Round 4 · picks 101–1401 missShow ▸
PickTeamPlayerPosWentVerdictScore
137NOKaytron Allenrunning back18711
Round 5 · picks 141–1812 missesShow ▸
PickTeamPlayerPosWentVerdictScore
148NONadame Tuckeredge rusherUDFA0
170NOTacario Daviscornerback721
Round 6 · picks 182–2161 missShow ▸
PickTeamPlayerPosWentVerdictScore
189NOTanner Kozioltight end16434
Picks 0–04 hits · 1 close call · 5 waitingShow ▸
PickTeamPlayerPosWentVerdictScore
0—Jeremiyah Loverunning back3100
0—Arvell Reeselinebacker5100
0—Rueben Bainedge rusher1571
0—Jordyn Tysonwide receiver896
0—David Baileydefensive end2100
0LVFernando Mendozaquarterback——
0—Chris Bellwide receiver——
0—Elijah Sarrattwide receiver——
0NYJDante Moorequarterback——
0NOTim Keenandefensive tackle——

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