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Nick Wright#49 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 12, 2025

The host of the Week 2 gambling segment (unnamed in the transcript) laid out five picks, predicting New England beats Miami, Jacksonville wins outright at Cincinnati 27-21, Arizona handles Carolina, Kansas City beats Philadelphia 27-24 at home, and Atlanta wins at Minnesota.

Said on air or in an interview · What's Wright? with Nick Wright (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 3calls landed1 hit · 2 close calls · all settled
65.1Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
47.7A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 3Settlednone still waiting
#49Nick Wright’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Nick Wright said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I think Jacksonville wins this game twenty seven, twenty one.
Nick Wright, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
What's Wright - NFL Week 2 Picks: Nick Wright PREDICTS Eagles-Chiefs, Jaguars-Bengals, Falcons-Vikings & more!
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidSep 12, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5, 2026
  1. 1Kansas City Chiefs 27 — Philly 24“my game pick for Casey Philly is twenty seven to twenty four Kansas City... the Chiefs plus one in a game, I expect them to win, outright”
  2. 2Atlanta Falcons to beat Minnesota“It would not shock me at all if Atlanta wins this game... And so I like Atlanta in this spot indoors, short week”
  3. 3Jacksonville Jaguars 27 — Cincinnati 21“I think Jacksonville wins this game outright... I think Jacksonville wins this game twenty seven, twenty one. I will take the Jags getting three points.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Kansas City Chiefs 27 — Philly 241Score Predictions—5047.69+4.49
Atlanta Falcons to beat Minnesota2Game Outcome Picks—1000+194
Jacksonville Jaguars 27 — Cincinnati 213Score Predictions—45.2495.3−97.13
3 calls · 1 hit · 2 close calls · all settled65.147.7

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 checkable claims — 2 score predictions and 1 game outcome pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 65.1 out of 100, against 47.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Score PredictionsKansas City Chiefs

    Kansas City Chiefs 27 — Philly 24

    VerdictClose
    50Close · naive 47.69
    50this call47.69a naive guess2.31better than naive1.94difficulty+4.49skill

    Closing line (Sep 14): Eagles by 1.5, total 46.5 · this 27–24 calls a Chiefs win (by 3; the line gave the Chiefs 47%) and more points (51). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    score:
    20-17
    skill:
    4.49
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    47.69
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    3
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Game Outcome PicksAtlanta Falcons

    Atlanta Falcons to beat Minnesota

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.94difficulty+194skill

    Closing line (Sep 14): Vikings by 3.5 · underdog pick, Falcons 38%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    ATL
    score:
    22-6
    skill:
    194
    they picked:
    ATL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    MIN
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Score PredictionsJacksonville Jaguars

    Jacksonville Jaguars 27 — Cincinnati 21

    VerdictClose
    45.24Close · naive 95.3
    45.24this call95.3a naive guess−50.06worse than naive1.94difficulty−97.13skill

    Closing line (Sep 14): Bengals by 3.5, total 49.5 · this 27–21 calls a Jaguars win (by 6; the line gave the Jaguars 37%) and fewer points (48). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    score:
    27-31
    skill:
    −97.13
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    45.24
    baseline:
    95.3
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    6
    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    65.1naive 47.7

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