Colin Cowherd· Sep 12, 2025
The host of the Week 2 gambling segment (unnamed in the transcript) laid out five picks, predicting New England beats Miami, Jacksonville wins outright at Cincinnati 27-21, Arizona handles Carolina, Kansas City beats Philadelphia 27-24 at home, and Atlanta wins at Minnesota.
“I think Jacksonville wins this game twenty seven, twenty one.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
5 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks and 2 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 5 have settled, averaging 79 out of 100, against 48.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
5 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsSep 12, 2025
New England Patriots to beat Miami
“I like New England getting the one point in Miami... I think this is an absolute, true must win for New England... and I will take New England plus a point.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+194 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 33-27
- skill:
- 194
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- MIA
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Game Outcome PicksArizona CardinalsSep 12, 2025
Arizona Cardinals to beat Carolina
“I just I think Carolina is really, really bad... I will lay the six and a half with Arizona.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- ARI
- score:
- 22-27
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- ARI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- ARI
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Score PredictionsKansas City ChiefsSep 12, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs 27 — Philly 24
“my game pick for Casey Philly is twenty seven to twenty four Kansas City... the Chiefs plus one in a game, I expect them to win, outright”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 47.69+4.49 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 20-17
- skill:
- 4.49
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 47.69
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 3
- Game Outcome PicksAtlanta FalconsSep 12, 2025
Atlanta Falcons to beat Minnesota
“It would not shock me at all if Atlanta wins this game... And so I like Atlanta in this spot indoors, short week”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+194 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- ATL
- score:
- 22-6
- skill:
- 194
- they picked:
- ATL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- MIN
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- Score PredictionsJacksonville JaguarsSep 12, 2025
Jacksonville Jaguars 27 — Cincinnati 21
“I think Jacksonville wins this game outright... I think Jacksonville wins this game twenty seven, twenty one. I will take the Jags getting three points.”
Close · 45Scored 45.24a naive guess scored 95.3-97.13 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 27-31
- skill:
- -97.13
- they picked:
- JAX
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 45.24
- baseline:
- 95.3
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 6
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Jake ArthurScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 98Arthur expects a close Chiefs win on Sunday Night Football at Arrowhead, predicting a final score of 27-23 for Kansas City.
- Zach HicksScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 98Hicks predicts a lower-scoring, field-goal-heavy game with the Chiefs beating the Colts 23-19, citing Indianapolis' red-zone success against Kansas City historically.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 0Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
- Matt HarmonGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver.