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Tyler Sullivan· Sep 16, 2026

In a piece ranking five 0-1 teams by how badly they need a Week 2 win, the only concrete on-field call is that Green Bay should go into MetLife Stadium and beat the Jets in Week 2.

“If Green Bay fancies itself as a playoff-caliber team in the NFC, it should be able to head into this road environment and pull out a win”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Green Bay Packers to beat New York Jets

    “If Green Bay fancies itself as a playoff-caliber team in the NFC, it should be able to head into this road environment and pull out a win against a team that is widely expected to be on the outside looking in on the postseason this year.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+194 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    GB
    score:
    20-17
    skill:
    194
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    NYJ
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17

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