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Tyler Sullivan#27 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 16, 2026

In a piece ranking five 0-1 teams by how badly they need a Week 2 win, the only concrete on-field call is that Green Bay should go into MetLife Stadium and beat the Jets in Week 2.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

100Hit · out of 100
Packers 20–17What happenedPackers at Jets
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#27Tyler Sullivan’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Tyler Sullivan said

If Green Bay fancies itself as a playoff-caliber team in the NFC, it should be able to head into this road environment and pull out a win
Our reading: Green Bay Packers to beat New York Jets
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
Ranking 5 NFL teams that need a win the most in Week 2, including the Cowboys and Patriots
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidSep 16
  2. PlayedSep 20
  3. GradedSep 21

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksGreen Bay Packers

    Green Bay Packers to beat New York Jets

    What happenedPackers 20–17Packers at Jets
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.94difficulty+194skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Packers by 3.5 · favorite pick, Packers 62%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    GB
    score:
    20-17
    skill:
    194
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    NYJ
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17
    Think this is wrong?

The game in this take

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