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Bucky Brooks#26 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 10, 2025

Brooks sorted the 14 playoff quarterbacks into four tiers, placing Mahomes, Allen, Lamar Jackson and Jayden Daniels as the elites, Herbert, Goff and Stafford in tier two, Mayfield, Darnold, Love and Hurts (in that order) in tier three, and Stroud, Russell Wilson and Bo Nix in the unpredictable tier. They also picked Jayden Daniels as Offensive Rookie of the Year.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 close call · all settled
86.5Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
25A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
#26Bucky Brooks’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Bucky Brooks said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
So we have four guys and Tier one home Mahomes Allan, Jackson Daniels. Tier two, we have Herbert Golf and Stafford
Bucky Brooks, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
Ranking Playoff QBs Into 4 Tiers + NFLPA All-Pro List Review
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJan 10, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7, 2026
  1. 1Jayden Daniels to win Offensive Rookie of the Year“He's looking he's Deck of the year... They're mad about the Jay danisty that's my pick, Jaye Daniels.”
  2. 2Top Player Lists“So we have four guys and Tier one home Mahomes Allan, Jackson Daniels. Tier two, we have Herbert Golf and Stafford... So I would go Baker first, then Sam Murs... Then I would say Love and then Hurts... So we got bow Knicks in force... Russell Wilson has to be there... C J. Stroud has to be in that conversation.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Jayden Daniels to win Offensive Rookie of the Year1Award PicksJayden Daniels won1000+100
“So we have four guys and Tier one home Mahomes Allan, Jackson…”2Top Player Lists—72.9750+22.97
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 close call · all settled86.525

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 award pick and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 86.5 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Award PicksJayden DanielsWashington Commanders

    Jayden Daniels to win Offensive Rookie of the Year

    What happenedJayden Daniels won
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1difficulty+100skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    offensive_rookie_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was C.J. Stroud, who won it the year before
    skill:
    100
    player:
    Jayden Daniels
    season:
    2024
    who won:
    Jayden Daniels
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Top Player Lists

    “So we have four guys and Tier one home Mahomes Allan, Jackson Daniels. Tier two, we have Herbert Golf and Stafford... So I would go Baker first, then Sam Murs... Then I would say Love and then Hurts... So we got bow Knicks in force... Russell Wilson has to be there... C J. Stroud has to be in that conversation.”

    VerdictClose
    72.97Close · naive 50
    72.97this call50a naive guess22.97better than naive1difficulty+22.97skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    a coin-flip ordering scores 50
    skill:
    22.97
    placed:
    14
    season:
    2024
    players:
    14
    accuracy:
    72.97
    baseline:
    50
    by position:
    QB 14: 72.97
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    could not place:
    0
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    86.5naive 25

Who this take is about

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