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Shannon Sharpe#42 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 16, 2025

On a Bengals-Steelers matchup, Sharpe took the over on several player props: Ja'Marr Chase over 74.5 receiving yards, Joe Flacco over 36.5 pass attempts, and T.J. Watt over 3.5 tackles+assists, adding that Watt will get two sacks. They also predicted Rico Dowdle would make the Pro Bowl this season.

Said on air or in an interview · Nightcap (podcast)Hear the original

0Miss · out of 100
Did not make itWhat happenedPro Bowl
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
0This callout of 100
#42Shannon Sharpe’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Shannon Sharpe said

He's gonna have two sacks.
Our reading: Rico Dowdle to make Pro Bowl
Where it was said
Nightcap (podcast)
The episode
Nightcap Hour 1: Tua APOLOGIZES for SNITCHING + Rico Dowdle talks BREAKOUT PERFORMANCE vs Cowboys + FLACCO & CHASE take CONTROL + Pickens SHOWCASES Talents
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidOct 16, 2025
  2. GradedOct 9, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. What happenedDid not make itPro Bowl
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.67difficulty−167skill
    How this was scored
    made:
    no
    naive:
    he did not make it the year before, so the naive pick said no
    skill:
    −167
    player:
    Rico Dowdle
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    selection:
    pro_bowl
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    12
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

More pro bowl and all-pro calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.