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Gregg Rosenthal#39 of 87 NFL pundits · Apr 15, 2026

Rosenthal expects Ruben Bain to be drafted in the top 10-12 and believes they won't get past the Cowboys at No. 12, expects David Bailey to be taken early (hard to see them out of the top six) and to go before Bain, and pegs Kiante Scott as a late-second to third-round pick.

Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original

3 of 3calls landed3 hits · 2 waiting
93.5Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 5Settled2 still waiting
#39Gregg Rosenthal’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Gregg Rosenthal said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I would think Jerry Jones would take him.
Gregg Rosenthal, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Around the NFL (podcast)
The episode
Ranking the 2026 NFL Draft: Edge Rushers and Cornerbacks
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidApr 15
  2. GradedAug 5–14
  1. 1David Bailey to be picked “the top six” (picks 1–6)“it's it's hard to imagine him getting out of the top six”
  2. 2David Bailey to be drafted ahead of Ruben Bain“I think the expectation is he will go behind the Ohio State linebackers and behind David Bailey”
  3. 3Rueben Bain to be picked “the top ten, twelve, maybe at the max” (picks 1–10)“he obviously plays a premium position that the style of play ultimately would have him getting drafted in the top ten, twelve, maybe at the max”
  4. 4Keionte Scott to be picked “He might be a late second, he might be third”“He might be a late second, he might be third. Who knows”
  5. 5Rueben Bain to be picked “taken by the Cowboys at No. 12 at the latest”“Well twelve is the Dallas Cowboys... he's not gonna get past the Cowboys... I would think Jerry Jones would take him.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
David Bailey to be picked “the top six” (picks 1–6)1Mock Draft PicksWent 210050—
David Bailey to be drafted ahead of Ruben Bain2Prospect vs Prospect Calls—10050+50
Rueben Bain to be picked “the top ten, twelve, maybe at the max” (picks 1–10)3Mock Draft PicksWent 1580.5250—
Keionte Scott to be picked “He might be a late second, he might be third”4Mock Draft Picks————
Rueben Bain to be picked “taken by the Cowboys at No. 12 at the latest”5Mock Draft Picks————
5 calls · 3 hits · 2 waiting93.550

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

5 checkable claims — 4 mock draft picks and 1 prospect vs prospect call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 93.5 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
the top six (picks 1–6)They said
2What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksDavid Bailey

    David Bailey to be picked “the top six” (picks 1–6)

    What happenedWent 2
    100Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    David Bailey
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    the top six (picks 1–6)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Prospect vs Prospect CallsDavid Bailey

    David Bailey to be drafted ahead of Ruben Bain

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 50
    100this call50a naive guess50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    claim:
    David Bailey drafted ahead of Rueben Bain
    draft:
    2026
    skill:
    50
    what happened:
    David Bailey went 2, Rueben Bain went 15
    player:
    David Bailey
    season:
    2026
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    compared to:
    Rueben Bain
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Mock Draft PicksRueben BainMiami Dolphins

    Rueben Bain to be picked “the top ten, twelve, maybe at the max” (picks 1–10)

    What happenedWent 15
    80.52Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Rueben Bain
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    80.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    15
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    80.52
    predicted pick:
    the top ten, twelve, maybe at the max (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Mock Draft PicksKeionte ScottMiami Dolphins

    Keionte Scott to be picked “He might be a late second, he might be third”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. 5Mock Draft PicksRueben BainMiami Dolphins

    Rueben Bain to be picked “taken by the Cowboys at No. 12 at the latest”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  6. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    93.5naive 50

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