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Eric WilliamsSep 9, 2026

Williams has the Seahawks repeating as champions with a 28-24 win over a Chiefs team that rebounds to reach the Super Bowl.

Published in writing · Fox SportsRead the original

0 of 1calls landed1 close call · 3 waiting
69.1Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
58.7A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1Games calledeveryone’s picks below
3Waitingnot graded yet

What Eric Williams said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
the Seahawks use that disrespect as motivation to repeat as champions
Eric Williams, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Fox Sports
The piece
2026 Super Bowl Predictions: Battle Of L.A.? Cowboys Win It All? Our Super Bowl LXI Picks
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidSep 9
  2. PlayedOct 25
  3. GradedOct 26
  1. 1Seattle Seahawks 28 — Chiefs 24“Score prediction: Seahawks 28, Chiefs 24”
  2. 2Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl“Eric D. Williams: Seahawks Defeat Chiefs”
  3. 3Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl“Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid rebound from a disappointing season last year to reach the Super Bowl together for the sixth time”
  4. 4Seattle Seahawks to reach the Super Bowl“Eric D. Williams: Seahawks Defeat Chiefs”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Seattle Seahawks 28 — Chiefs 241Score PredictionsSeahawks 20–369.0558.69+20.71
Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl2Super Bowl Picks————
Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl3Conference Champions————
Seattle Seahawks to reach the Super Bowl4Conference Champions————
4 calls · 1 close call · 3 waiting69.158.7

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 2 conference champions, 1 score prediction and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 69.1 out of 100, against 58.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Score PredictionsSeattle Seahawks

    Seattle Seahawks 28 — Chiefs 24

    What happenedSeahawks 20–3called Seahawks by 4 · won by 17
    69.05Close · naive 58.69
    69.05this call58.69a naive guess10.36better than naive2difficulty+20.71skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    3-20
    skill:
    20.71
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    69.05
    baseline:
    58.69
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    18
    naive home margin:
    −0.35
    predicted margin:
    4
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Super Bowl PicksSeattle Seahawks

    Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Conference ChampionsKansas City Chiefs

    Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. 4Conference ChampionsSeattle Seahawks

    Seattle Seahawks to reach the Super Bowl

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.