Richard Sherman#43 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 23, 2026
Sherman picks the Seahawks to beat the Rams comfortably at home, 27-17, with a defensive score, and says the winner of that NFC Championship game will win the Super Bowl. They also pick the Patriots to win comfortably in Denver, 21-15, and assumes Matthew Stafford will be named league MVP.
Said on air or in an interview · The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast)Hear the original
What Richard Sherman said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI got Settle winning twenty seven to seventeen in this ball game
- Where it was said
- The Richard Sherman Podcast (podcast)
- The episode
- Richard Sherman Podcast - AFC & NFC Championship PREDICTIONS: Rams-Seahawks, Patriots-Broncos | Richard Sherman NFL
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidJan 23
- GradedAug 5–17
- 1Seattle Seahawks 27 — Los Angeles Rams 17“I got Settle winning twenty seven to seventeen in this ball game, scoring, and they'll get a defensive score somewhere in there”
- 2Seattle Seahawks to reach the Super Bowl“that's a big reason why I feel like the Seattle Seahawks are gonna pull this one off in a comfortable fashion”
- 3New England Patriots to reach the Super Bowl“I got the New England Patriots coming into Denver and winning comfortably.”
- 4New England Patriots 21 — Denver Broncos 15“I got the New England Patriots winning this game twenty one to fifteen.”
- 5Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl“Obviously they get this win. I think the winner of this game wins the Super Bowl.”
- 6Matthew Stafford to win MVP“Matthew Stafford the MVP of the league this year is what I'm assuming he's gonna be named at some point.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Seahawks 27 — Los Angeles Rams 171 | Score Predictions | — | 85.71 | 95.3 | −9.59 | |
| Seattle Seahawks to reach the Super Bowl2 | Conference Champions | NE and SEA won | 100 | 0 | +100 | |
| New England Patriots to reach the Super Bowl3 | Conference Champions | NE and SEA won | 100 | 0 | +100 | |
| New England Patriots 21 — Denver Broncos 154 | Score Predictions | — | 92.86 | 47.69 | +45.17 | |
| Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl5 | Super Bowl Picks | SEA won it | 100 | 0 | +100 | |
| Matthew Stafford to win MVP6 | Award Picks | Matthew Stafford won | 100 | 0 | +100 | |
| 6 calls · 6 hits · all settled | 96.4 | 23.8 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive6 checkable claims — 2 conference champions, 2 score predictions, 1 award pick and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 6 have settled, averaging 96.4 out of 100, against 23.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Score PredictionsSeattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks 27 — Los Angeles Rams 17
VerdictHit85.71Hit · naive 95.385.71this call−95.3a naive guess=−9.59worse than naive×1difficulty=−9.59skillClosing line (Jan 25): Seahawks by 2.5, total 45.5 · this 27–17 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 10) and fewer points (44).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 27-31
- skill:
- −9.59
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 85.71
- baseline:
- 95.3
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 10
2Conference ChampionsSeattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks to reach the Super Bowl
What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked SEA100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1difficulty=+100skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 100
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- champions:
- NE, SEA
- difficulty:
- 1
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- reached the Super Bowl:
- yes
- lost the conference final:
- no
3Conference ChampionsNew England Patriots
New England Patriots to reach the Super Bowl
What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked NE100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1difficulty=+100skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 100
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- champions:
- NE, SEA
- difficulty:
- 1
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- reached the Super Bowl:
- yes
- lost the conference final:
- no
4Score PredictionsNew England Patriots
New England Patriots 21 — Denver Broncos 15
VerdictHit92.86Hit · naive 47.6992.86this call−47.69a naive guess=45.17better than naive×1difficulty=+45.17skillClosing line (Jan 25): Patriots by 3.5, total 43.5 · this 21–15 calls a bigger Patriots win (by 6) and fewer points (36).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 10-7
- skill:
- 45.17
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 92.86
- baseline:
- 47.69
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 6
5Super Bowl PicksSeattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl
What happenedSEA won itpicked SEA100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1difficulty=+100skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 100
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- champion:
- SEA
- runner up:
- NE
- the naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
6Award PicksMatthew StaffordLos Angeles Rams
Matthew Stafford to win MVP
What happenedMatthew Stafford won100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1difficulty=+100skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Matthew Stafford
- season:
- 2025
- who won:
- Matthew Stafford
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 6 settled calls, each counted once
96.4naive 23.8
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Colin Cowherd · Trade and Signing Calls · Matthew Stafford · Hit 100
Cowherd predicts Matt Stafford stays with the Rams rather than moving on, and says Travis Hunter may underachieve because they're being asked to play both ways — Cowherd doubts they're a No. 1 receiver and would slot them as a No. 2 receiver while being a No. 1 corner.Colin Cowherd · Trade and Signing Calls · Matthew Stafford · Hit 100
Cowherd believes Matt Stafford's public negotiation posturing means he ultimately stays in Los Angeles, and he flags Travis Hunter as a high draft pick who could underachieve because trying to play both cornerback and receiver full-time will hurt him.Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup.Tyler Sullivan · Game Outcome Picks · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9.Dave Richard · Game Outcome Picks · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.
More conference champions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Nick Wright · Conference Champions · Denver Broncos · Close 50
Wright picked the Broncos to beat the Patriots in a low-scoring AFC Championship game (17-16), said Sean Payton would coach Denver to the Super Bowl, picked the Rams to win outright in Seattle 31-20, believes the winner of the NFC game wins the Super Bowl with the Rams the better team, and expects Matt Stafford to be named league MVP.Pat Gustavson · Conference Champions · Chicago Bears · Miss 0
Gustafson picked the Bears, Eagles, Rams, Patriots, Jaguars and Texans in the wild card round, the Rams and Bears in the NFC, the Broncos and Patriots in the AFC, and the Patriots to beat the Bears in the Super Bowl. Their awards slate included Stafford for MVP, Puka for OPOY and Liam Cohen for Coach of the Year.Mike Renner · Conference Champions · Houston Texans · Miss 0
Renner picked the same AFC bracket as JP except with the Texans reaching the Super Bowl as a fifth seed, had the Packers beating the Bears in the NFC, and leaned Rams over Seahawks in the NFC Championship and the Rams as Super Bowl champions. They also gave a full post-season mock draft of picks 1-18.JP Acosta · Conference Champions · Jacksonville Jaguars · Miss 0
JP walked through the entire playoff bracket, taking the Patriots, Texans and Jaguars in the AFC wild card round, the Jaguars over the Texans in the AFC Championship, the Rams out of the NFC, and the Rams to beat the Jaguars in the Super Bowl.Chris Brockman · Conference Champions · San Francisco 49ers · Miss 0
Brockman floated the 49ers as the team to beat in the NFC after their Sunday night win, predicted James Cook would lead the league in rushing, and said Tyler Shough will win Rookie of the Year with the Saints finishing above .500 next season.Rich Eisen · Conference Champions · Chicago Bears · Miss 0
Eisen agreed the Bears are a team of destiny who will win the NFC, insisted the Packers will make the playoffs and won't lose at home to the Ravens, said the Steelers should make the playoffs, and endorsed the view that Trevor Lawrence is playing like a top-five quarterback.