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Daniel Jeremiah#25 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 17, 2026

Jeremiah says Ohio State defensive tackle Kayden McDonald currently sits just outside their first round, though thin free agency at the position could push them back into round one.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

84Hit · out of 100
Went 36What happenedsettled
50A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
84.09This callout of 100
#25Daniel Jeremiah’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Daniel Jeremiah said

Maybe that moves. A guy like I'm thinking of Kayden McDonald from Ohio state... maybe that elevates him back up into the first round. He's just outside that for me.
Our reading: Kayden McDonald to be picked “just outside the first round” (picks 1–32)
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
40s and Free Agents: Ranking the Defensive Free Agents
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidFeb 17
  2. GradedAug 7

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 84.1 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
just outside the first round (picks 1–32)They said
36What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. Mock Draft PicksKayden McDonald

    Kayden McDonald to be picked “just outside the first round” (picks 1–32)

    What happenedWent 36
    84.09Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Kayden McDonald
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    36
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    just outside the first round (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?

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