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Pete Prisco#51 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 18, 2026

Prisco picks final scores for every Week 2 NFL game, with several teams that lost in Week 1 — the Chargers, Patriots, Cowboys, Packers and Rams — bouncing back, and the Bills outlasting the Lions in a shootout.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

4 of 15calls landed4 hits · 7 close calls · 4 misses · 1 waiting
55.9Average accuracyout of 100, across 15 calls
40.8A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
15Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#51Pete Prisco’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Pete Prisco said

For example, the Chargers will beat the Raiders and cover this week after a terrible showing in losing to the Cardinals at home last week.
Pete Prisco, the lead quote
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
Prisco's Week 2 NFL picks: Rams rout Giants; Chargers, Patriots, Cowboys bounce back
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidSep 17
  2. PlayedSep 20–21
  3. GradedSep 21–22

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Score Predictions4741
All4741

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

16 checkable claims — 16 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 16 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

15 of 16 have settled so far, averaging 55.9 out of 100, against 40.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Score Predictions4 hits · 7 close calls · 4 misses · 1 waitingShow ▸
  1. Los Angeles Rams 30 — Giants 14

    “Pick: Rams 30, Giants 14”

    Los Angeles Rams

    Rams 28–6called Rams by 16 · won by 22
    85.71Hit

    85.71 − 50 naive = 35.71 × 1.94 difficulty = +69.29 skill

    Closing line (Sep 21): Rams by 6.5, total 47.5 · this 30–14 calls a bigger Rams win (by 16) and fewer points (44).

    How this was scored
    score:
    6-28
    skill:
    69.29
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    85.71
    baseline:
    50
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    22
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    0.19
    predicted margin:
    16
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Los Angeles Chargers 24 — Raiders 16

    “Pick: Chargers 24, Raiders 16”

    Los Angeles Chargers

    Raiders 26–14called Chargers by 8 · lost by 12
    40.48Close

    40.48 − 20.2 naive = 20.28 × 1.94 difficulty = +39.34 skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Chargers by 6.5, total 43.5 · this 24–16 calls a bigger Chargers win (by 8) and fewer points (40).

    How this was scored
    score:
    26-14
    skill:
    39.34
    they picked:
    LAC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    40.48
    baseline:
    20.2
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    12
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    −0.52
    predicted margin:
    8
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Baltimore Ravens 33 — Saints 20

    “Pick: Ravens 33, Saints 20”

    Baltimore Ravens

    Saints 24–17called Ravens by 13 · lost by 7
    35.71Miss

    35.71 − 32.1 naive = 3.61 × 1.94 difficulty = +7 skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Ravens by 8.5, total 45.5 · this 33–20 calls a bigger Ravens win (by 13) and more points (53).

    How this was scored
    score:
    24-17
    skill:
    7
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    35.71
    baseline:
    32.1
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    −0.52
    predicted margin:
    13
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Green Bay Packers 27 — Jets 20

    “Pick: Packers 27, Jets 20”

    Green Bay Packers

    Packers 20–17called Packers by 7 · won by 3
    90.48Hit

    90.48 − 41.63 naive = 48.85 × 1.94 difficulty = +94.76 skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Packers by 3.5, total 44.5 · this 27–20 calls a bigger Packers win (by 7) and more points (47).

    How this was scored
    score:
    20-17
    skill:
    94.76
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    90.48
    baseline:
    41.63
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    −0.52
    predicted margin:
    7
    Think this is wrong?
  5. New England Patriots 21 — Steelers 14

    “This is a low-scoring game with the Pats winning it. Pick: Patriots 21, Steelers 14”

    New England Patriots

    Patriots 20–3called Patriots by 7 · won by 17
    76.19Close

    76.19 − 58.29 naive = 17.9 × 1.94 difficulty = +34.72 skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Patriots by 4.5, total 41.5 · this 21–14 calls a bigger Patriots win (by 7) and fewer points (35).

    How this was scored
    score:
    3-20
    skill:
    34.72
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    76.19
    baseline:
    58.29
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    −0.52
    predicted margin:
    7
    Think this is wrong?
  6. Atlanta Falcons 21 — Panthers 17

    “Pick: Falcons 21, Panthers 17”

    Atlanta Falcons

    Panthers 34–3called Falcons by 4 · lost by 31
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1.94 difficulty = 0 skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Panthers by 2.5, total 43.5 · this 21–17 calls a Falcons win (by 4; the line gave the Falcons 42%) and fewer points (38).

    How this was scored
    score:
    34-3
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    ATL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    31
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    −0.52
    predicted margin:
    4
    Think this is wrong?
  7. Jacksonville Jaguars 23 — Broncos 20

    “Pick: Jaguars 23, Broncos 20”

    Jacksonville Jaguars

    Broncos 20–13called Jaguars by 3 · lost by 7
    40.48Close

    Closing line (Sep 20): Broncos by 2.5, total 45.5 · this 23–20 calls a Jaguars win (by 3; the line gave the Jaguars 43%) and fewer points (43).

    How this was scored
    score:
    13-20
    skill:
    −80.76
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    40.48
    baseline:
    82.1
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    −0.52
    predicted margin:
    3
    Think this is wrong?
  8. Houston Texans 28 — Bengals 23

    “Pick: Texans 28, Bengals 23”

    Houston Texans

    Bengals 20–6called Texans by 5 · lost by 14
    28.57Miss

    28.57 − 15.44 naive = 13.13 × 1.94 difficulty = +25.48 skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Texans by 3, total 45.5 · this 28–23 calls a bigger Texans win (by 5) and more points (51).

    How this was scored
    score:
    20-6
    skill:
    25.48
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    28.57
    baseline:
    15.44
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    14
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    −0.52
    predicted margin:
    5
    Think this is wrong?
  9. Kansas City Chiefs 27 — Colts 17

    “Pick: Chiefs 27, Colts 17”

    Kansas City Chiefs

    Chiefs 33–30called Chiefs by 10 · won by 3
    83.33Hit

    83.33 − 91.63 naive = −8.3 × 1.94 difficulty = −16.09 skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Chiefs by 6, total 46.5 · this 27–17 calls a bigger Chiefs win (by 10) and fewer points (44).

    How this was scored
    score:
    30-33
    skill:
    −16.09
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    83.33
    baseline:
    91.63
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    −0.52
    predicted margin:
    10
    Think this is wrong?
  10. San Francisco 49ers 29 — Dolphins 10

    “Pick: 49ers 29, Dolphins 10”

    San Francisco 49ers

    49ers 35–13called 49ers by 19 · won by 22
    92.86Hit

    92.86 − 50 naive = 42.86 × 1.94 difficulty = +83.14 skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): 49ers by 12.5, total 44.5 · this 29–10 calls a bigger 49ers win (by 19) and fewer points (39).

    How this was scored
    score:
    13-35
    skill:
    83.14
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    92.86
    baseline:
    50
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    22
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    −0.52
    predicted margin:
    19
    Think this is wrong?
  11. Seattle Seahawks 19 — Cardinals 13

    “Pick: Seahawks 19, Cardinals 13”

    Seattle Seahawks

    Seahawks 31–7called Seahawks by 6 · won by 24
    57.14Close

    57.14 − 0 naive = 57.14 × 1.94 difficulty = +110.86 skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Seahawks by 3.5, total 40.5 · this 19–13 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 6) and fewer points (32).

    How this was scored
    score:
    31-7
    skill:
    110.86
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    57.14
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    24
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    −0.52
    predicted margin:
    6
    Think this is wrong?
  12. Dallas Cowboys 31 — Commanders 24

    “Pick: Cowboys 31, Commanders 24”

    Dallas Cowboys

    Cowboys 37–20called Cowboys by 7 · won by 17
    76.19Close

    76.19 − 58.29 naive = 17.9 × 1.94 difficulty = +34.72 skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Cowboys by 3.5, total 51.5 · this 31–24 calls a bigger Cowboys win (by 7) and more points (55).

    How this was scored
    score:
    20-37
    skill:
    34.72
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    76.19
    baseline:
    58.29
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    −0.52
    predicted margin:
    7
    Think this is wrong?
  13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 30 — Browns 10

    “Pick: Buccaneers 30, Browns 10”

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    Browns 23–19called Buccaneers by 20 · lost by 4
    11.9Miss

    Closing line (Sep 20): Buccaneers by 8.5, total 41.5 · this 30–10 calls a bigger Buccaneers win (by 20) and fewer points (40).

    How this was scored
    score:
    23-19
    skill:
    −53.04
    they picked:
    TB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    11.9
    baseline:
    39.25
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    −0.52
    predicted margin:
    20
    Think this is wrong?
  14. Philadelphia Eagles 30 — Titans 13

    “Pick: Eagles 30, Titans 13”

    Philadelphia Eagles

    Eagles 24–20called Eagles by 17 · won by 4
    69.05Close

    69.05 − 39.25 naive = 29.8 × 1.94 difficulty = +57.81 skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Eagles by 7, total 39.5 · this 30–13 calls a bigger Eagles win (by 17) and more points (43).

    How this was scored
    score:
    24-20
    skill:
    57.81
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    69.05
    baseline:
    39.25
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    −0.52
    predicted margin:
    17
    Think this is wrong?
  15. Chicago Bears 30 — Vikings 24

    “Pick: Bears 30, Vikings 24”

    Chicago Bears

    Vikings 9–3called Bears by 6 · lost by 6
    50Close

    50 − 34.49 naive = 15.51 × 1.94 difficulty = +30.1 skill

    Closing line (Sep 20): Bears by 4.5, total 46.5 · this 30–24 calls a bigger Bears win (by 6) and more points (54).

    How this was scored
    score:
    9-3
    skill:
    30.1
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    34.49
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    −0.52
    predicted margin:
    6
    Think this is wrong?
  16. Buffalo Bills 36 — Lions 30

    “Pick: Bills 36, Lions 30”

    Buffalo Bills

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

The games in this take

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