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Zachary PerelesNov 2, 2026

Pereles calls it reality that the Buccaneers will win the NFC South, and says that if Baker Mayfield limits their mistakes Tampa Bay will reach the postseason after an 0-4 start.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

Waiting2 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 2Settled2 still waiting
2Waitingnot graded yet

What Zachary Pereles said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Statement: Buccaneers will win the NFC South. Overreaction or reality: Reality.
Zachary Pereles, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
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The original
Read the original
  1. 1Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division“Statement: Buccaneers will win the NFC South. Overreaction or reality: Reality.”
  2. 2Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs“If Mayfield can avoid making multiple back-breaking mistakes per game, the Buccaneers will join the 1992 Chargers as the only teams to make the postseason after starting 0-4.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division1Division Winners————
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs2Playoff Picks————
2 calls · 2 waiting——

How each call scored

2 checkable claims — 1 division winner and 1 playoff pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Division WinnersTampa Bay Buccaneers

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Playoff PicksTampa Bay Buccaneers

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More division winners

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.