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Danny Parkins#75 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 24, 2026

Parkins took both favorites: the Patriots to beat the Broncos by double digits behind their defense, and the Seahawks to beat the Rams because Seattle has been the best team in football since Week 11.

Said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100
Game Outcome PicksThe callsettled
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#75Danny Parkins’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Danny Parkins said

I think the Patriots win the game by double digits.
Our reading: New England Patriots to beat Broncos
The episode
Patriots vs. Broncos, Rams vs. Seahawks, Most to Gain & Lose, Upset Alert and Nick’s Picks
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidJan 23
  2. GradedAug 13

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksNew England Patriots

    New England Patriots to beat Broncos

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1difficulty+100skill

    Closing line (Jan 25): Patriots by 3.5 · favorite pick, Patriots about 2 in 3 (64%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    won:
    NE
    score:
    10-7
    skill:
    100
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    DEN
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

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