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Peter Schrager· Feb 25, 2026

Schrager expects the 49ers and Trent Williams to work out a contract solution keeping him in San Francisco, and would be surprised if the Bengals tagged Trey Hendrickson or signed him to a new big deal, suggesting he finishes his career elsewhere.

“They want Trent Williams in a 40 niners jersey here. They'll find a win.”

said on air, transcribed by us · NFL Live (podcast) · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 2 trade and signing calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Trey Hendrickson to move

    “I I would be very surprised if he was either tagged or if they came to terms with a new monster deal with Trey Hendrickson... Maybe it's time for Trey to finish his career somewhere else.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Trey Hendrickson
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he leaves
    was with:
    CIN
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    reported:
    signed → BAL
    settled by:
    a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Trent Williams to move to San Francisco 49ers

    “I think he knows they have to be create solution. They want Trent Williams in a 40 niners jersey here. They'll find a win.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these