Ross Jackson#21 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 24, 2026
Ross Jackson picked the Saints to beat the Raiders at home, projecting a 27-24 final score with the Raiders scoring 24 points.
Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Raiders (podcast)Hear the original
What Ross Jackson said
I think the Saints can walk away with this one. I give them the home field advantage.
- Where it was said
- Locked On Raiders (podcast)
- The episode
- What it will take for the Raiders to pick up the win in the Big Easy
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidSep 24
- PlayedSep 27
- GradedSep 30
How the call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveOne checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 38.1 out of 100, against 33 for a naive guess at the same calls.
The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Score PredictionsNew Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints 27 — Raiders 24
What happenedRaiders 35–27called Saints by 3 · lost by 838.1Miss · naive 33.0438.1this call−33.04a naive guess=5.06better than naive×1.89difficulty=+9.56skillClosing line (Sep 27): Saints by 3.5, total 43.5 · this 27–24 calls a closer game (Saints by 3) and more points (51).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 35-27
- skill:
- 9.56
- they picked:
- NO
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 38.1
- baseline:
- 33.04
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- naive home margin:
- 0.88
- predicted margin:
- 3
The game in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
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Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score.