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Peter Bukowski· Apr 15, 2026

The Packers' beat host argues corner is a poor value at pick 52 based on historical hit rates, names what he considers the top four cornerbacks in the class, and says Julian Neal looks like a fourth-round pick.

“Those are really your top four corners.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Packers (podcast) · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 1 mock draft pick and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
fourth round (picks 101–140)They said
99What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Julian Neal to be picked “fourth round” (picks 101–140)

    “and then in the fourth round, you got a Will Lee, who by the way just had a visit with the packers, a Malik Muhammad, a Julian Neal, which seems to be where he's gonna come off the board.”

    Hit · 92Scored 91.7a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Julian Neal
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    99
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    fourth round (picks 101–140)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Top Player ListsApr 15, 2026

    “So it's Mansour DeLayne, it's Jermall McCoy, it's Chris Johnson probably, and Colton Hood. Those are really your top four corners.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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