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Peter BukowskiApr 15, 2026

The Packers' beat host argues corner is a poor value at pick 52 based on historical hit rates, names what they consider the top four cornerbacks in the class, and says Julian Neal looks like a fourth-round pick.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Packers (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 1calls landed1 hit · 1 waiting
91.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 2Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Peter Bukowski said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Those are really your top four corners.
Peter Bukowski, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
STAY AWAY: Why drafting a CB at 52 for the Packers may be the WORST pick based on history
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidApr 15
  2. GradedAug 18
  1. 1Julian Neal to be picked “fourth round” (picks 101–140)“and then in the fourth round, you got a Will Lee, who by the way just had a visit with the packers, a Malik Muhammad, a Julian Neal, which seems to be where he's gonna come off the board.”
  2. 2Top Player Lists“So it's Mansour DeLayne, it's Jermall McCoy, it's Chris Johnson probably, and Colton Hood. Those are really your top four corners.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Julian Neal to be picked “fourth round” (picks 101–140)1Mock Draft PicksWent 9991.750—
“So it's Mansour DeLayne, it's Jermall McCoy, it's Chris Johnson…”2Top Player Lists————
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 waiting91.750

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 mock draft pick and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
fourth round (picks 101–140)They said
99What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksJulian Neal

    Julian Neal to be picked “fourth round” (picks 101–140)

    What happenedWent 99
    91.7Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Julian Neal
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    99
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    fourth round (picks 101–140)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Top Player Lists

    “So it's Mansour DeLayne, it's Jermall McCoy, it's Chris Johnson probably, and Colton Hood. Those are really your top four corners.”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

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