Chad ReuterApr 14, 2026
Reuter's five-round mock has Buffalo trading up one spot to No. 25 for Texas A&M receiver Casey Concepcion, then taking Arkansas CB Julian Neal at 91, Michigan edge/linebacker Jayshawn Barham at 126, and Alabama linebacker Justin Jefferson at 168.
Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Bills (podcast)Hear the original
What Chad Reuter said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromChad Reuter, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
- Where it was said
- Locked On Bills (podcast)
- The episode
- Bills’ MOCK DRAFT Roundup: What ACTUALLY Makes the Most Sense for Buffalo in 2026 NFL Draft?
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidApr 14
- GradedOct 1
- 1Julian Neal to be picked at number 91“Then at pick 91, he has the bill selecting Julian Neal, cornerback out of Arkansas”
- 2K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 25“he has the bills actually trading up in the first round from 26 to 25... And with that pick, they select wide receiver Casey Concepcion out of Texas a and m.”
- 3Jaishawn Barham to be picked at number 126“At pick one twenty six, it's Michigan edge rusher slash linebacker, Jayshawn Barham.”
- 4Justin Jefferson to be picked at number 168“And then at one sixty eight, it's Justin Jefferson, the linebacker from Alabama.”
- 5Buffalo Bills to pick at number 25“he has the bills actually trading up in the first round from 26 to 25”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Neal to be picked at number 911 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 99 | 70.71 | 50 | +40 | |
| K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 252 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 24 | 95.76 | 50 | +40 | |
| Jaishawn Barham to be picked at number 1263 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 92 | 22.93 | 50 | +40 | |
| Justin Jefferson to be picked at number 1684 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 149 | 43.91 | 50 | +40 | |
| Buffalo Bills to pick at number 255 | Team Draft Slot Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 5 calls · 1 hit · 2 close calls · 1 miss · 1 waiting | 58.3 | 50 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive5 checkable claims — 4 mock draft picks and 1 team draft slot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
4 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 58.3 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Where this call stands in the room
Buffalo Bills · 2026 season · overall pick6 calls from 6 pundits between 25 overall pick and 31 overall pick. Chad Reuter said 25 overall pick. the room's median is 30 overall pick. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
1Mock Draft PicksJulian NealBuffalo Bills
Julian Neal to be picked at number 91
What happenedWent 99mocked at 9170.71Close · naive 5090this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=40better than naive×1difficulty=+40skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 40
- player:
- Julian Neal
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 70.71
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 99
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 70.71
- predicted pick:
- 91
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 90
2Mock Draft PicksK.C. ConcepcionBuffalo Bills
K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 25
What happenedWent 24mocked at 2595.76Hit · naive 5090this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=40better than naive×1difficulty=+40skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 40
- player:
- K.C. Concepcion
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 24
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 25
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 90
3Mock Draft PicksJaishawn BarhamBuffalo Bills
Jaishawn Barham to be picked at number 126
What happenedWent 92mocked at 12622.93Miss · naive 5090this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=40better than naive×1difficulty=+40skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 40
- player:
- Jaishawn Barham
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 22.93
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 92
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 22.93
- predicted pick:
- 126
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 90
4Mock Draft PicksJustin JeffersonBuffalo Bills
Justin Jefferson to be picked at number 168
What happenedWent 149mocked at 16843.91Close · naive 5090this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=40better than naive×1difficulty=+40skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 40
- player:
- Justin Jefferson
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 43.91
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 149
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 43.91
- predicted pick:
- 168
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 90
5Team Draft Slot CallsBuffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills to pick at number 25
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once
58.3naive 50
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Prisco picked the Bills to win 21-14 at Minnesota.John Breech · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Breech picked the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night by a score of 24-17.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 62
Dajani picked the Bills to edge the Vikings 24-23.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 74
Dubin picked Buffalo to win a low-scoring Monday night game in Minnesota, 20-14.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Sullivan picked the Bills to beat the Vikings 24-17.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Chris Simms · Mock Draft Picks · Malachi Corley · Miss 11
Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore.Philip Hughes · Mock Draft Picks · Kyle Kennard · Miss 34
Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection.Blaine Grisak · Mock Draft Picks · Brian Thomas Jr. · Hit 84
Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of their own from the 2024 pre-draft period, they suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19.Charlie Campbell · Mock Draft Picks · Xavier Williams · Miss 0
Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare.