Chris Brockman#36 of 87 NFL pundits · Dec 29, 2025

Brockman floated the 49ers as the team to beat in the NFC after their Sunday night win, predicted James Cook would lead the league in rushing, and said Tyler Shough will win Rookie of the Year with the Saints finishing above .500 next season.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 3calls landed1 hit · 1 close call · 1 miss · 1 waiting

46.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls

28.3A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

3 of 4Settled1 still waiting

#36Chris Brockman’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Chris Brockman said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

James Cook is gonna lead the league in rushing this year.

Chris Brockman, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: Overreaction Monday (podcast)
The episode: NFL Week 17: 49ers, Patriots, Lions, Steelers-Ravens Stakes & More
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 12, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidDec 29, 2025
GradedAug 13–17, 2026

1San Francisco 49ers to reach the Super Bowl“the San Francisco holds on, and the forty niners should be the favorites to win the NFC.”
2James Cook to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards“James Cook is gonna lead the league in rushing this year.”
3New Orleans Saints to finish with 9 wins“Tyla Shuck's gonna win rookie of the year and have the Saints over 500 next year.”
4Tyler Shough to win Rookie of the Year“Tyla Shuck's gonna win rookie of the year and have the Saints over 500 next year.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
San Francisco 49ers to reach the Super Bowl¹	Conference Champions	NE and SEA won	0	0	0
James Cook to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards²	Positional Finishes	Finished #1	100	0	+111
New Orleans Saints to finish with 9 wins³	Season Win Totals	6	40	85	−49.95
Tyler Shough to win Rookie of the Year⁴	Award Picks	—	—	—	—
4 calls · 1 hit · 1 close call · 1 miss · 1 waiting			46.7	28.3

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

4 checkable claims — 1 award pick, 1 conference champion, 1 positional finish and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 46.7 out of 100, against 28.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Conference Champions San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers to reach the Super Bowl
What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked SF
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.11difficulty0skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
they picked:
SF
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
champions:
NE, SEA
difficulty:
1.11
the naive guess:
last season's conference champions
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
2
reached the Super Bowl:
no
lost the conference final:
no
Think this is wrong?
2Positional Finishes James Cook Buffalo Bills
James Cook to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards
What happenedFinished #1called #1 · by rushing yards
100Hit · naive 0
100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.11difficulty+111skill
How this was scored
skill:
111
player:
James Cook
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
12
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
position:
RB
ranked by:
rushing yards
difficulty:
1.11
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
16
actual finish:
1
weeks left when called:
2
predicted finish:
1
Think this is wrong?
3Season Win Totals New Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints to finish with 9 wins
What happened6called 9
40Close · naive 85
40this call85a naive guess−45worse than naive1.11difficulty−49.95skill
How this was scored
team:
NO
naive:
6.75
skill:
−49.95
what happened:
6
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
5
accuracy:
40
baseline:
85
they said:
9
difficulty:
1.11
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
2
Think this is wrong?
4Award Picks Tyler Shough New Orleans Saints
Tyler Shough to win Rookie of the Year
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
46.7naive 28.3