Skip to main content

Colin Cowherd#54 of 87 NFL pundits · Nov 21, 2025

Cowherd gave a specific projected stat line for Shedeur Sanders' first career start against the Raiders.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 3calls landed3 misses · all settled
0Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
32A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 3Settlednone still waiting
#54Colin Cowherd’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Colin Cowherd said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
thirteen of, eighteen one hundred thirty nine, yards one, touchdown one, pick passer rating of eighty to five
Colin Cowherd, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
THE HERD - Hour 2 - Blazing 5 picks for the weekend, the Chiefs struggles this season, Julian Edelman
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidNov 21, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7, 2026
  1. 1Shedeur Sanders to record 1 passing tds“one, touchdown one, pick”
  2. 2Shedeur Sanders to record 139 passing yards“thirteen of, eighteen one hundred thirty nine, yards one, touchdown one, pick passer rating of eighty to five”
  3. 3Shedeur Sanders to record 1 passing interceptions“he'll have an ugly, pick”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Shedeur Sanders to record 1 passing tds1Player Season Numbers702.61−3.63
Shedeur Sanders to record 139 passing yards2Player Season Numbers1,400069.52−96.63
Shedeur Sanders to record 1 passing interceptions3Player Season Numbers10023.93−33.27
3 calls · 3 misses · all settled032

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 checkable claims — 3 player season numbers — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 0 out of 100, against 32 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

passing tds
1They said
7What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Player Season NumbersShedeur SandersCleveland Browns

    Shedeur Sanders to record 1 passing tds

    What happened7called 1
    0Miss · naive 2.61
    0this call2.61a naive guess−2.61worse than naive1.39difficulty−3.63skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    13.64
    skill:
    −3.63
    what happened:
    7
    player:
    Shedeur Sanders
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    2.61
    they said:
    1
    statistic:
    passing_tds
    difficulty:
    1.39
    last season:
    no prior season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    7
    position average:
    13.64
    zero at percent out:
    50
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Player Season NumbersShedeur SandersCleveland Browns

    Shedeur Sanders to record 139 passing yards

    What happened1,400called 139
    0Miss · naive 69.52
    0this call69.52a naive guess−69.52worse than naive1.39difficulty−96.63skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    1651.74
    skill:
    −96.63
    what happened:
    1400
    player:
    Shedeur Sanders
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    69.52
    they said:
    139
    statistic:
    passing_yards
    difficulty:
    1.39
    last season:
    no prior season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    7
    position average:
    1651.74
    zero at percent out:
    50
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Player Season NumbersShedeur SandersCleveland Browns

    Shedeur Sanders to record 1 passing interceptions

    What happened10called 1
    0Miss · naive 23.93
    0this call23.93a naive guess−23.93worse than naive1.39difficulty−33.27skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    6.2
    skill:
    −33.27
    what happened:
    10
    player:
    Shedeur Sanders
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    23.93
    they said:
    1
    statistic:
    passing_interceptions
    difficulty:
    1.39
    last season:
    no prior season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    7
    position average:
    6.2
    zero at percent out:
    50
    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    0naive 32

Others on the same people

More player season numbers

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.