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David Harrison#57 of 87 NFL pundits · Mar 17, 2026

In their second mock draft of the week for the 2026 NFL Draft, Harrison has Washington (after a trade back to No. 10 with Cincinnati) take LSU cornerback Mansour Delaine at pick 10, Texas A&M receiver KC Concepcion at 41, Kentucky center Jagger Burton at 147, LSU linebacker Harold Perkins Jr. at 187, Oklahoma safety Robert Spears Jennings in the sixth, and Indiana running back Roman Hemby at 223. They argue this second class is better than their receiver-first version.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Commanders (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 6calls landed1 hit · 3 close calls · 2 misses · all settled
51.6Average accuracyout of 100, across 6 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
6 of 6Settlednone still waiting
#57David Harrison’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What David Harrison said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
So for me, I think that the second class is better.
David Harrison, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Defensive SHIFT: Washington Commanders Mock Draft TARGETS Cornerback Mansoor Delane; 2nd Round WR
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidMar 17
  2. GradedAug 14–18
  1. 1Robert Spears-Jennings to be picked “sixth round” (picks 182–216)“Robert Spears Jennings, safety out of Oklahoma was the second [sixth round pick]”
  2. 2Harold Perkins to be picked at number 187“Six round pick number one eighty seven went linebacker in both ... we pivoted to Harold Perkins Junior”
  3. 3Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 10“we were left with cornerback Mansour Delaine out of LSU, and that's the route we took... pick number ten”
  4. 4Jager Burton to be picked at number 147“In the fifth round, the only pick that is the same in both mock dress. Jagger Burton, center out of Kentucky ... in the fifth round, pick one forty seven”
  5. 5K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 41“In the second round, pick number 41 ... We end up with wide receiver KC Concepcion out of Texas a and m.”
  6. 6Roman Hemby to be picked at number 223“going to the seventh round ... It's pick two twenty three. We go Roman Hemby running back out of Indiana”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Robert Spears-Jennings to be picked “sixth round” (picks 182–216)1Mock Draft PicksWent 22470.7150+50
Harold Perkins to be picked at number 1872Mock Draft PicksWent 21529.7350+50
Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 103Mock Draft PicksWent 684.0950+50
Jager Burton to be picked at number 1474Mock Draft PicksWent 15377.1150+50
K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 415Mock Draft PicksWent 2447.8850+50
Roman Hemby to be picked at number 2236Mock Draft PicksWent undrafted050+50
6 calls · 1 hit · 3 close calls · 2 misses · all settled51.650

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

6 checkable claims — 6 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 6 have settled, averaging 51.6 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
sixth round (picks 182–216)They said
224What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksRobert Spears-JenningsWashington Commanders

    Robert Spears-Jennings to be picked “sixth round” (picks 182–216)

    What happenedWent 224
    70.71Close · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Robert Spears-Jennings
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    70.71
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    224
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    70.71
    predicted pick:
    sixth round (picks 182–216)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Mock Draft PicksHarold PerkinsWashington Commanders

    Harold Perkins to be picked at number 187

    What happenedWent 215mocked at 187
    29.73Miss · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Harold Perkins
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    29.73
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    215
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    29.73
    predicted pick:
    187
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Mock Draft PicksMansoor DelaneWashington Commanders

    Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 10

    What happenedWent 6mocked at 10
    84.09Hit · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Mansoor Delane
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    6
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Mock Draft PicksJager BurtonWashington Commanders

    Jager Burton to be picked at number 147

    What happenedWent 153mocked at 147
    77.11Close · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Jager Burton
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    77.11
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    153
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    77.11
    predicted pick:
    147
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?
  5. 5Mock Draft PicksK.C. ConcepcionWashington Commanders

    K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 41

    What happenedWent 24mocked at 41
    47.88Close · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    K.C. Concepcion
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    47.88
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    24
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    47.88
    predicted pick:
    41
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?
  6. 6Mock Draft PicksRoman HembyWashington Commanders

    Roman Hemby to be picked at number 223

    What happenedWent undraftedmocked at 223
    0Miss · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Roman Hemby
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; later signed with LV
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    223
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?
  7. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 6 settled calls, each counted once

    51.6naive 50

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