Colin Cowherd#54 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 19, 2025

Cowherd's "Blazing 5" week three picks: Rams upset the Eagles, Patriots beat the Steelers outright, Seahawks handle the Saints, Cowboys edge the Bears in a game that goes over 50.5, and the Ravens beat the Lions on Monday night.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 5calls landed4 close calls · 1 miss · all settled

39Average accuracyout of 100, across 5 calls

55.3A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

5 of 5Settlednone still waiting

#54Colin Cowherd’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Colin Cowherd said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

I'm gonna take the Rams to upset them. Twenty seven twenty three.

Colin Cowherd, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)
The episode: THE HERD - Hour 2 - New Blazing 5 Picks, the Bears horrible offense, Josh Allen looks amazing, Eric Mangini
The original: Hear the original
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The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidSep 19, 2025
GradedAug 7, 2026

1Baltimore Ravens 30 — Lions 23“Ravens win thirty twenty three. I'll take him to cover the spread.”
2Los Angeles Rams 27 — Eagles 23“I'm gonna take the Rams to upset them. Twenty seven twenty three.”
3New England Patriots 27 — Pittsburgh 23“I like the Patriots straight out to win this game. Twenty seven twenty three.”
4Seattle Seahawks 28 — Saints 20“I like Seattle here at home twenty eight to twenty.”
5Dallas Cowboys 28 — Bears 27“Cowboys win at twenty eight twenty seven, But I like the over on this game.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Baltimore Ravens 30 — Lions 23¹	Score Predictions	—	47.62	35.78	+22.37
Los Angeles Rams 27 — Eagles 23²	Score Predictions	—	42.86	88.16	−85.63
New England Patriots 27 — Pittsburgh 23³	Score Predictions	—	42.86	38.16	+8.87
Seattle Seahawks 28 — Saints 20⁴	Score Predictions	—	50	50	0
Dallas Cowboys 28 — Bears 27⁵	Score Predictions	—	11.9	64.35	−99.13
5 calls · 4 close calls · 1 miss · all settled			39	55.3

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

5 checkable claims — 5 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 39 out of 100, against 55.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Score Predictions Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens 30 — Lions 23
VerdictClose
47.62Close · naive 35.78
47.62this call35.78a naive guess11.84better than naive1.89difficulty+22.37skill
Closing line (Sep 22): Ravens by 4.5, total 53.5 · this 30–23 calls a bigger Ravens win (by 7) and fewer points (53). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
How this was scored
score:
38-30
skill:
22.37
they picked:
BAL
season:
2025
accuracy:
47.62
baseline:
35.78
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
8
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
7
Think this is wrong?
2Score Predictions Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams 27 — Eagles 23
VerdictClose
42.86Close · naive 88.16
42.86this call88.16a naive guess−45.3worse than naive1.89difficulty−85.63skill
Closing line (Sep 21): Eagles by 3.5, total 45.5 · this 27–23 calls a Rams win (by 4; the line gave the Rams 36%) and more points (50).
How this was scored
score:
26-33
skill:
−85.63
they picked:
LAR
season:
2025
accuracy:
42.86
baseline:
88.16
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
4
Think this is wrong?
3Score Predictions New England Patriots
New England Patriots 27 — Pittsburgh 23
VerdictClose
42.86Close · naive 38.16
42.86this call38.16a naive guess4.7better than naive1.89difficulty+8.87skill
Closing line (Sep 21): Steelers by 1.5, total 44.5 · this 27–23 calls a Patriots win (by 4; the line gave the Patriots 48%) and more points (50).
How this was scored
score:
21-14
skill:
8.87
they picked:
NE
season:
2025
accuracy:
42.86
baseline:
38.16
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
4
Think this is wrong?
4Score Predictions Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks 28 — Saints 20
VerdictClose
50Close · naive 50
50this call50a naive guess0better than naive1.89difficulty0skill
Closing line (Sep 21): Seahawks by 7.5, total 41.5 · this 28–20 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 8) and more points (48).
How this was scored
score:
13-44
skill:
0
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
31
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
8
Think this is wrong?
5Score Predictions Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys 28 — Bears 27
VerdictMiss
11.9Miss · naive 64.35
11.9this call64.35a naive guess−52.45worse than naive1.89difficulty−99.13skill
Closing line (Sep 21): Cowboys by 1.5, total 49.5 · this 28–27 calls a closer game (Cowboys by 1) and more points (55).
How this was scored
score:
14-31
skill:
−99.13
they picked:
DAL
season:
2025
accuracy:
11.9
baseline:
64.35
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
17
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
1
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 5 settled calls, each counted once
39naive 55.3