Colin Cowherd· Sep 19, 2025
Cowherd's "Blazing 5" week three picks: Rams upset the Eagles, Patriots beat the Steelers outright, Seahawks handle the Saints, Cowboys edge the Bears in a game that goes over 50.5, and the Ravens beat the Lions on Monday night.
“I'm gonna take the Rams to upset them. Twenty seven twenty three.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
5 checkable claims — 5 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 5 have settled, averaging 39 out of 100, against 55.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
5 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Score PredictionsBaltimore RavensSep 19, 2025
Baltimore Ravens 30 — Lions 23
“Ravens win thirty twenty three. I'll take him to cover the spread.”
Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 35.78+22.37 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 38-30
- skill:
- 22.37
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 47.62
- baseline:
- 35.78
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 7
- Score PredictionsLos Angeles RamsSep 19, 2025
Los Angeles Rams 27 — Eagles 23
“I'm gonna take the Rams to upset them. Twenty seven twenty three.”
Close · 43Scored 42.86a naive guess scored 88.16-85.63 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 26-33
- skill:
- -85.63
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 42.86
- baseline:
- 88.16
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 4
- Score PredictionsNew England PatriotsSep 19, 2025
New England Patriots 27 — Pittsburgh 23
“I like the Patriots straight out to win this game. Twenty seven twenty three.”
Close · 43Scored 42.86a naive guess scored 38.16+8.87 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 21-14
- skill:
- 8.87
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 42.86
- baseline:
- 38.16
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 4
- Score PredictionsSeattle SeahawksSep 19, 2025
Seattle Seahawks 28 — Saints 20
“I like Seattle here at home twenty eight to twenty.”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 13-44
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 50
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 31
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 8
- Score PredictionsDallas CowboysSep 19, 2025
Dallas Cowboys 28 — Bears 27
“Cowboys win at twenty eight twenty seven, But I like the over on this game.”
Miss · 12Scored 11.9a naive guess scored 64.35-99.13 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 14-31
- skill:
- -99.13
- they picked:
- DAL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 11.9
- baseline:
- 64.35
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 17
- weeks left when called:
- 16
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 1
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Baltimore RavensHit · 98Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 0Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 0Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
More score predictions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersMiss · 10Simms picked the Packers to beat the Falcons in the Thursday night game by a low score, expecting a defensive struggle.
- Jake ArthurScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 98Arthur expects a close Chiefs win on Sunday Night Football at Arrowhead, predicting a final score of 27-23 for Kansas City.
- Zach HicksScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 98Hicks predicts a lower-scoring, field-goal-heavy game with the Chiefs beating the Colts 23-19, citing Indianapolis' red-zone success against Kansas City historically.
- Nate TiceScore Predictions · Cincinnati BengalsClose · 74Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro.
- Matt HarmonScore Predictions · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver.