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Tom Pelissero· Jun 13, 2025

Pelissero predicted that Trey Hendrickson will eventually sign a multiyear extension with the Bengals and that TJ Watt will get a deal done with the Steelers. He also said Daniel Jones has a leg up in Indianapolis and expects Mike Tomlin to remain Steelers head coach as long as he wants.

“I believe that this will get done, Rich. K. I believe it'll end up being a multiyear extension”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 2 trade and signing calls and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

1They said
1What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart

    “the fact that in Indianapolis, Daniel Jones took all the reps because Anthony Richardson once again is dealing with an injury, you would anticipate that that's going to give Daniel Jones some level of a leg up”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    IND
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Daniel Jones
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    1
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Trey Hendrickson to move to Cincinnati Bengals

    “I believe that this will get done, Rich. K. I believe it'll end up being a multiyear extension just because I don't think that they wanna do a one year extension.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • T.J. Watt to move to Pittsburgh Steelers

    “But TJ Watt, I anticipate a deal is gonna get done there eventually.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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