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John Breech#34 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 21, 2026

Breech expects Caleb Williams to return quickly from their hamstring injury, at the latest by Week 4 against the Jets or Week 5 against the Packers, and they picked the Rams to beat the Giants on Monday night. They also floated the Saints as a potential surprise team this season.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

0 of 1calls landed1 close call · 2 waiting
54.8Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#34John Breech’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What John Breech said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
John Breech's pick: Rams 27-24 over Giants
John Breech, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
NFL Week 2 winners and losers, plus Caleb Williams injury details and Rams-Giants predictions for Monday night
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidSep 21
  2. PlayedSep 21
  3. GradedSep 22
  1. 1Los Angeles Rams 27 — Giants 24“John Breech's pick: Rams 27-24 over Giants”
  2. 2New Orleans Saints to beat expectations“The Saints feel like they could be a surprise team this season. Grade: A”
  3. 3Availability Calls“If Williams isn't quite ready to go this week, it sounds like he'll be back on the field by either Week 4 (Jets) or Week 5 (Packers) at the latest.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Los Angeles Rams 27 — Giants 241Score PredictionsRams 28–654.7650+9.24
New Orleans Saints to beat expectations2Surprise Team Calls————
“If Williams isn't quite ready to go this week, it sounds like…”3Availability Calls————
3 calls · 1 close call · 2 waiting54.850

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 1 availability call, 1 score prediction and 1 surprise team call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 54.8 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Score PredictionsLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams 27 — Giants 24

    What happenedRams 28–6called Rams by 3 · won by 22
    54.76Close · naive 50
    54.76this call50a naive guess4.76better than naive1.94difficulty+9.24skill

    Closing line (Sep 21): Rams by 6.5, total 47.5 · this 27–24 calls a closer game (Rams by 3) and more points (51).

    How this was scored
    score:
    6-28
    skill:
    9.24
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    54.76
    baseline:
    50
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    22
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    0.19
    predicted margin:
    3
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Surprise Team CallsNew Orleans Saints

    New Orleans Saints to beat expectations

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Availability CallsCaleb WilliamsChicago Bears

    “If Williams isn't quite ready to go this week, it sounds like he'll be back on the field by either Week 4 (Jets) or Week 5 (Packers) at the latest.”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.