Matt MillerFeb 21, 2026
Miller expects a consequential Chiefs offseason with Chris Jones potentially traded, predicts Kyler Murray gets traded, and offers draft-board opinions: Jeremiah Love as their top overall player, Makai Lemon as their top receiver ranked eighth overall with a ceiling around pick five, Keldrick Faulk around 20th on their board, plus combine expectations for Reuben Bain's and David Bailey's weights and Malik Muhammad's 40 time.
Said on air, transcribed by us · KC Sports Network (podcast)Hear the original
What Matt Miller said
I think we're gonna see Kyler Murray probably get traded this offseason.
- Where it was said
- KC Sports Network (podcast)
- The episode
- KCSN Draft Show 2/20: What to Watch For at the 2026 NFL Scouting Combine with ESPN's Matt Miller
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidFeb 20
- GradedAug 13–18
Box score, by kind
HitCloseMissWaiting| Group | Hits | Close | Misses | Waiting | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Combine Measurements | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Position Order Calls | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mock Draft Picks | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Trade and Signing Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| All | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
How each call scored
9 checkable claims — 3 combine measurements, 3 mock draft picks, 2 trade and signing calls and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
7 of 9 have settled so far, averaging 64.1 out of 100, against 50.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Where this call stands in the room
Makai Lemon · 2025 season · positional finish4 calls from 3 pundits between 1 positional finish and 3 positional finish. Matt Miller said 1 positional finish. the room's median is 1 positional finish. what happened: 3 positional finish
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Combine Measurements3 hitsShow ▸Hide ▾
“I have him at five eleven, one ninety five”
192called 19586.96Hit86.96 − 73 naive = 13.96 × 1 difficulty = +13.96 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- off:
- 3
- drill:
- weight lbs
- naive:
- the average WR (198.76, from 336 results)
- scale:
- credit halves every 14.88 — one standard deviation for a WR
- skill:
- 13.96
- player:
- Makai Lemon
- result:
- 192
- season:
- 2025
- combine year:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 86.96
- baseline:
- 73
- they said:
- 195
- sigmas out:
- 0.2
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Combine results via Pro-Football-Reference.com.
Rueben Bain to post come in light, like, two sixty, two sixty five at the combine
“I always expect Bane to come in light, like, two sixty, two sixty five.”
263called 26082.62Hit82.62 − 59.18 naive = 23.44 × 1 difficulty = +23.44 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- off:
- 3
- drill:
- weight lbs
- naive:
- the average EDGE (254.76, from 149 results)
- scale:
- credit halves every 10.89 — one standard deviation for a EDGE
- skill:
- 23.44
- player:
- Rueben Bain
- result:
- 263
- season:
- 2025
- combine year:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 82.62
- baseline:
- 59.18
- they said:
- 260
- sigmas out:
- 0.28
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Combine results via Pro-Football-Reference.com.
Makai Lemon to post five eleven at the combine
“I have him at five eleven, one ninety five, and the those my height weights, I don't pull offline. I get them from scouts.”
71called 71100Hit100 − 57.87 naive = 42.13 × 1 difficulty = +42.13 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- off:
- 0
- drill:
- height in
- naive:
- the average WR (72.82, from 336 results)
- scale:
- credit halves every 2.31 — one standard deviation for a WR
- skill:
- 42.13
- player:
- Makai Lemon
- result:
- 71
- season:
- 2025
- combine year:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 57.87
- they said:
- 71
- sigmas out:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Combine results via Pro-Football-Reference.com.
Position Order Calls1 close callShow ▸Hide ▾
Makai Lemon to be 1st receiver off the board
“he's my he's my top receiver. He's my top 10.”
50Close50 − 12.84 naive = 37.16 × 1 difficulty = +37.16 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- naming one of the 36 at random averages 12.84
- skill:
- 37.16
- player:
- Makai Lemon
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 12.84
- position:
- receiver
- class size:
- 36
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 3
- predicted order:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Mock Draft Picks2 close calls · 1 missShow ▸Hide ▾
Makai Lemon to be picked at number 8
“Oh, man. Five? Five, six? I had him at eight overall.”
Went 20mocked at 859.46Closemock order 100 − 50 for a shuffle = 50 × 1 difficulty = +50 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Makai Lemon
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 59.46
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 20
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 59.46
- predicted pick:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
Malik Muhammad to be picked “a second round guy” (picks 33–64)
“I think if Malik Mohammed can hit four fives, it's gonna be a really, really good number for him. That's gonna help his stock, and he could be a second round guy.”
Went 1247.43Missmock order 100 − 50 for a shuffle = 50 × 1 difficulty = +50 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Malik Muhammad
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 7.43
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 124
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 7.43
- predicted pick:
- a second round guy (picks 33–64)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 20
“I think I have him as, like, right around 20 overall on my board.”
Went 31mocked at 2062.09Closemock order 100 − 50 for a shuffle = 50 × 1 difficulty = +50 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Keldric Faulk
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 62.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 31
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 62.09
- predicted pick:
- 20
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
Trade and Signing Calls2 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Chris Jones to move
“you said, hey. Yeah. You know, Chris Jones might find his way on the trading block this year... So I wouldn't I wouldn't say that if it wasn't something that I had heard or something I believe.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Kyler Murray to move
“I think we're gonna see Kyler Murray probably get traded this offseason, and that's gonna hammer home that point of money is fake in the NFL.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Ross Jackson · Mock Draft Picks · Rueben Bain · Close 74
Jackson predicts the Saints will stay put and pick at No. 8 overall rather than trading up, and after Mickey Loomis' press conference they now lean toward New Orleans taking a defensive back there — either LSU cornerback Mansoor Delaine or Ohio State safety Caleb Downs — while still viewing Miami edge rusher Ruben Bain Jr. as a likely selection.Nick Wright · Mock Draft Picks · Keldric Faulk · Close 59
Nick Wright unveiled their full 32-pick 2026 NFL mock draft 4.0, starting with Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1 and ending with Avion Terrell to the Seahawks at 32. They also called Carnell Tate the best/safest receiver in the class, projected Ty Simpson inside the top 45, said Mendoza profiles as a low-end top-15 NFL quarterback, and expected the Dolphins to lose 15 games.Danny Parkins · Mock Draft Picks · Rueben Bain · Close 74
Danny Parkins presented their one-and-only 2026 mock draft, including trades: Mendoza at 1 to the Raiders, David Bailey second to the Jets, the Cowboys trading up to No. 3 for Arvell Reese, the Bears trading up to 16 for Kadyn Proctor, and Ty Simpson going to Arizona at 32 at the end of round one.David Harrison · Mock Draft Picks · Makai Lemon · Close 68
Harrison delivers their only first-round mock draft for the 2026 NFL Draft, projecting all 32 first-round picks (including several trades) plus the rest of Washington's projected class, while noting it is an exercise in what could happen rather than a firm forecast.
More combine measurements
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Field Yates · Combine Measurements · Brenen Thompson · Close 67
Yates pegged David Bailey as a top-four pick, called Jeremiah Love clearly the best running back in the class with a draft range from No. 3 overall to the Chiefs at No. 9, put Karnell Tate atop their receiver board, projected Jordan Tyson as a top-15 pick, and expected Brennan Thompson to run in the 4.2s. They also see both Miami's Mauigoa and Utah's Spencer Fano taken inside the top 15, with Mauigoa having a chance to be the first offensive lineman off the board.Joe Haden · Combine Measurements · Zachariah Branch · Miss 0
Joe (the Browns-affiliated co-host) argues Shedeur Sanders is still the best quarterback of this class but concedes Fernando Mendoza will be the No. 1 overall pick, and they play the combine 40-yard dash props on Caleb Downs, Zachariah Branch and Haynes King.Bruce Feldman · Combine Measurements · Cole Payton · Hit 100
Feldman discussed Fernando Mendoza as the likely No. 1 overall pick to the Raiders, praised Kenyon Sadik and Sunny Styles as combine standouts, projected Ty Simpson as a late-first-round pick, and pegged Cole Peyton for the fourth-to-fifth round range.Daniel Jeremiah · Combine Measurements · Justin Jefferson · Miss 27
On Move the Sticks, Daniel Jeremiah gave their views on the 2026 draft class: they set their board (Jeremiah Love as the second-best player, Malinoi 12th, Fano 14th), ranked the top edge rushers Bailey-Reese-Bain, projected draft ranges for several prospects, and forecast measurables for a few players.