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Ross Jackson#21 of 87 NFL pundits · Apr 23, 2026

Jackson predicts the Saints will stay put and pick at No. 8 overall rather than trading up, and after Mickey Loomis' press conference they now lean toward New Orleans taking a defensive back there — either LSU cornerback Mansoor Delaine or Ohio State safety Caleb Downs — while still viewing Miami edge rusher Ruben Bain Jr. as a likely selection.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Saints (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 3calls landed2 hits · 1 close call · 1 waiting
84.5Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 4Settled1 still waiting
#21Ross Jackson’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Ross Jackson said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I wouldn't be super surprised if it's Mansoor Delaine out of LSU or Caleb Downs out of Ohio State that ends up being the selection later on today for the New Orleans Saints.
Ross Jackson, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
PREDICTION: New Orleans Saints, Caleb Downs A Perfect First Round Match In 2026 NFL Draft
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidApr 23
  2. GradedOct 1
  1. 1Caleb Downs to be picked at number 8“I'm starting to lean towards the idea of the Saints potentially walking away with either LSU cornerback Mansour Delaine or Ohio State safety Caleb Downs in the first round... at this point, I wouldn't be super surprised if it's Mansoor Delaine out of LSU or Caleb Downs out of Ohio State that ends up being the selection”
  2. 2Rueben Bain to be picked at number 8“Well, I do think that Ruben Bayne Junior out of Miami, the edge rusher is a likely selection... I feel like I should have stuck with my prediction of Ruben Bayne Junior”
  3. 3Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 8“I wouldn't be super surprised if it's Mansoor Delaine out of LSU or Caleb Downs out of Ohio State that ends up being the selection later on today for the New Orleans Saints.”
  4. 4New Orleans Saints to pick at number 8“I do believe the Saints will select at number eight overall, meaning that the idea of a trade up, I'm still not fully buying it.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 81Mock Draft PicksWent 1187.8150—
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 82Mock Draft PicksWent 1573.8450—
Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 83Mock Draft PicksWent 691.750—
New Orleans Saints to pick at number 84Team Draft Slot Calls————
4 calls · 2 hits · 1 close call · 1 waiting84.550

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks and 1 team draft slot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 84.5 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Rueben Bain · 2026 season · overall pick

10 calls from 10 pundits between 8 overall pick and 15 overall pick. Ross Jackson said 8 overall pick. the room's median is 8 overall pick. what happened: 15 overall pick

Ross Jackson — 8 overall pickthe room — 10 calls from 10 punditsmedian 8 overall pickwhat happened — 15 overall pick

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
8They said
11What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksCaleb DownsNew Orleans Saints

    Caleb Downs to be picked at number 8

    What happenedWent 11mocked at 8
    87.81Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Caleb Downs
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    87.81
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    11
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    87.81
    predicted pick:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    no two picks we can place at different pick numbers — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Mock Draft PicksRueben BainNew Orleans Saints

    Rueben Bain to be picked at number 8

    What happenedWent 15mocked at 8
    73.84Close · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Rueben Bain
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    15
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    no two picks we can place at different pick numbers — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Mock Draft PicksMansoor DelaneNew Orleans Saints

    Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 8

    What happenedWent 6mocked at 8
    91.7Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Mansoor Delane
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    6
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    no two picks we can place at different pick numbers — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Team Draft Slot CallsNew Orleans Saints

    New Orleans Saints to pick at number 8

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    84.5naive 50

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