Acosta says Peter Woods and Caleb Banks will be the first two defensive tackles off the board, bets on Christian Miller sneaking into the first round, has Fernando Mendoza going No. 1 overall as the clear QB1 with Ty Simpson QB2, Kenyan Suik as TE1 and Makai Lemmon as their WR1, expects Caleb Lomu to weigh around 308 pounds, and pegs Munro Freeling as a candidate to be the first offensive lineman drafted with Maxi Amator sneaking into the back of round one; they call Jermaine McCoy a sure-fire CB1 if healthy.

off:

5

drill:

weight lbs

naive:

the average OT (317.44, from 132 results)

scale:

credit halves every 13.43 — one standard deviation for a OT

skill:

−2.27

player:

Caleb Lomu

result:

313

season:

2025

combine year:

2026

accuracy:

77.26

baseline:

79.53

they said:

308

sigmas out:

0.37

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

weeks left when called:

0

Combine results via Pro-Football-Reference.com.

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

player:

Max Iheanachor

season:

2025

zero credit this far off:

32

accuracy:

100

baseline:

50

actual pick:

21

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

100

predicted pick:

the back of the first round (picks 1–32)

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

only one pick — no order to score

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

player:

Fernando Mendoza

season:

2025

zero credit this far off:

32

accuracy:

100

baseline:

50

actual pick:

1

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

100

predicted pick:

1

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

only one pick — no order to score

draft:

2019

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

player:

Christian Miller

season:

2025

zero credit this far off:

32

accuracy:

2.74

baseline:

50

actual pick:

115

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

2.74

predicted pick:

first round (picks 1–32)

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

only one pick — no order to score

draft:

2026

naive:

naming one of the 10 at random averages 33.08

skill:

66.92

player:

Fernando Mendoza

season:

2025

zero credit this far off:

credit halves every two places

accuracy:

100

baseline:

33.08

position:

quarterback

class size:

10

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

actual order:

1

predicted order:

1

weeks left when called:

0

draft:

2026

naive:

naming one of the 27 at random averages 21.34

skill:

−19.13

player:

Jermod McCoy

season:

2025

zero credit this far off:

credit halves every two places

accuracy:

2.21

baseline:

21.34

position:

cornerback

class size:

27

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

actual order:

12

predicted order:

1

weeks left when called:

0

draft:

2026

naive:

naming one of the 10 at random averages 39.7

skill:

60.3

player:

Ty Simpson

season:

2025

zero credit this far off:

credit halves every two places

accuracy:

100

baseline:

39.7

position:

quarterback

class size:

10

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

actual order:

2

predicted order:

2

weeks left when called:

0

draft:

2026

naive:

naming one of the 22 at random averages 15.51

skill:

84.49

player:

Kenyon Sadiq

season:

2025

zero credit this far off:

credit halves every two places

accuracy:

100

baseline:

15.51

position:

tight end

class size:

22

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

actual order:

1

predicted order:

1

weeks left when called:

0

draft:

2026

naive:

naming one of the 50 at random averages 10.8

skill:

6.87

player:

Monroe Freeling

season:

2025

zero credit this far off:

credit halves every two places

accuracy:

17.68

baseline:

10.8

position:

offensive lineman

class size:

50

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

actual order:

6

predicted order:

1

weeks left when called:

0

draft:

2026

naive:

naming one of the 36 at random averages 12.84

skill:

37.16

player:

Makai Lemon

season:

2025

zero credit this far off:

credit halves every two places

accuracy:

50

baseline:

12.84

position:

wide receiver

class size:

36

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

actual order:

3

predicted order:

1

weeks left when called:

0