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Peter Schrager#19 of 87 NFL pundits · Apr 7, 2026

In their mock draft, Schrager has the Rams taking USC receiver Mekhi Lemmon at No. 13 overall in the 2026 draft, with Jordan Tyson the first receiver off the board to the Chiefs at ninth and Carnell Tate to the Dolphins two picks before the Rams.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Rams (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 4calls landed1 hit · 3 close calls · all settled
78.5Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
40.4A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4 of 4Settlednone still waiting
#19Peter Schrager’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Peter Schrager said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Lemon fits with a lot of what the Rams do on offense, and taking the 2025 Biletnikoff award winner would be a sign that the Rams are truly all in to win in 2026
Peter Schrager, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Locked On Rams (podcast)
The episode
THE PICK IS IN: With the 13th Pick in the 2026 NFL Draft the Rams Select...Rams Pick Revealed...
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  1. SaidApr 7
  2. GradedAug 14
  1. 1Carnell Tate to be picked at number 11“The Dolphins took Carnell Tate two picks before the Rams.”
  2. 2Makai Lemon to be picked at number 13“With the 13 pick in the twenty twenty six NFL draft, the Los Angeles Rams select... Peter Schrager... he made a pick for the Rams in the first round... he's available at thirteen”
  3. 3Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 9“The Chiefs took Jordan Tyson at ninth overall.”
  4. 4Jordyn Tyson to be 1st wide receiver off the board“So in this case, they had Jordan Tyson going first”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 111Mock Draft PicksWent 473.8450+25
Makai Lemon to be picked at number 132Mock Draft PicksWent 2073.8450+25
Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 93Mock Draft PicksWent 895.7650+25
Jordyn Tyson to be 1st wide receiver off the board4Position Order Calls—70.7111.45+59.26
4 calls · 1 hit · 3 close calls · all settled78.540.4

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 78.5 out of 100, against 40.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
11They said
4What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksCarnell TateMiami Dolphins

    Carnell Tate to be picked at number 11

    What happenedWent 4mocked at 11
    73.84Close · naive 50
    75this mock’s order50a shuffled mock25better than naive1difficulty+25skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    25
    player:
    Carnell Tate
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    4
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    11
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    75
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Mock Draft PicksMakai LemonLos Angeles Rams

    Makai Lemon to be picked at number 13

    What happenedWent 20mocked at 13
    73.84Close · naive 50
    75this mock’s order50a shuffled mock25better than naive1difficulty+25skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    25
    player:
    Makai Lemon
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    20
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    13
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    75
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Mock Draft PicksJordyn TysonKansas City Chiefs

    Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 9

    What happenedWent 8mocked at 9
    95.76Hit · naive 50
    75this mock’s order50a shuffled mock25better than naive1difficulty+25skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    25
    player:
    Jordyn Tyson
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    8
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    9
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    75
    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Position Order CallsJordyn TysonKansas City Chiefs

    Jordyn Tyson to be 1st wide receiver off the board

    VerdictClose
    70.71Close · naive 11.45
    70.71this call11.45a naive guess59.26better than naive1difficulty+59.26skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    naming one of the 36 at random averages 11.45
    skill:
    59.26
    player:
    Jordyn Tyson
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    70.71
    baseline:
    11.45
    position:
    wide receiver
    class size:
    36
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    2
    predicted order:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once

    78.5naive 40.4

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