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Jeremy Brener#64 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 27, 2026

Brener argues Seattle fleeced Indianapolis in the Quenton Nelson trade, predicting that if Nelson leaves in free agency after this season the Seahawks will recoup a third-round compensatory pick in the 2028 draft.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

Waitinggraded once the result is in

What Jeremy Brener said

If Nelson is only on the books this season, the Seahawks will likely get a third-round pick in 2028 for losing out on him in free agency.
Our reading: Seattle Seahawks to pick “a third-round pick in 2028” (picks 65–96)
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
3 Reasons Why Seahawks Fleeced Colts in Quenton Nelson Trade
The original
Read the original

How the call scored

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

Nothing to score yet: this grades once the result is in.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Team Draft Slot CallsSeattle Seahawks

    Seattle Seahawks to pick “a third-round pick in 2028” (picks 65–96)

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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