Jake Riepma· Feb 26, 2026
Filling in on Locked On Lions, Jake Reitma dismisses ESPN's suggestion that Sam LaPorta could be traded, saying LaPorta stays in Detroit as part of the core four. He also breaks down the edge class ahead of the Lions' pick at No. 17, calling David Bailey the class's top edge prospect with Reuben Bain Jr. next, and picks the Pistons as the NBA's best team.
“So there you have it. Sam Laporta, I don't think he's going anywhere.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Lions (podcast) · read the original →
4 checkable claims — 2 position order calls, 1 team draft slot call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 30.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where this call stands in the room
Rueben Bain · 2025 season · positional finish3 calls from 3 pundits between 1 positional finish and 3 positional finish. Jake Riepma said 2 positional finish. the room's median is 2 positional finish. what happened: 2 positional finish
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Their call against what happened
positional finishTheir call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
4 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Position Order CallsDavid BaileyFeb 26, 2026
David Bailey to be 1st edge off the board
“you got David Bailey who is far and away the the top prospect and then Reuben Bain junior right there out of Miami”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 13.13+86.87 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- naming one of the 26 at random averages 13.13
- skill:
- 86.87
- player:
- David Bailey
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 13.13
- position:
- edge
- class size:
- 26
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 1
- predicted order:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Position Order CallsRueben BainFeb 26, 2026
Rueben Bain to be 2nd edge off the board
“you got David Bailey who is far and away the the top prospect and then Reuben Bain junior right there out of Miami”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 15.85+84.15 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- naming one of the 26 at random averages 15.85
- skill:
- 84.15
- player:
- Rueben Bain
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 15.85
- position:
- edge
- class size:
- 26
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 2
- predicted order:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Team Draft Slot CallsDetroit LionsFeb 26, 2026
Detroit Lions to pick at number 17
“I really do think the lions can start to be in play at pick number 17 for the rest of that class”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 62.09+37.91 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- DET
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- they picked 28 the year before
- skill:
- 37.91
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 62.09
- actual pick:
- 17
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted pick:
- 17
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Trade and Signing CallsSam LaPortaDetroit LionsFeb 26, 2026
Sam LaPorta to move to Detroit Lions
“I think the odds of them trading him are extremely thin... Sam Laporta, I don't think he's going anywhere. I think he's a pivotal part of the lion's future.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Richard ShermanScore Predictions · Detroit LionsHit · 90Sherman picked winners and several exact scores across the Week 3 slate, favoring Seattle, San Francisco, Cincinnati, Detroit, Green Bay, Carolina, New Orleans, Baltimore, the Rams, Philadelphia, Buffalo, Kansas City, Minnesota, the Giants, Jacksonville and Houston, and named Kenneth Walker his MVP.
- Colin CowherdScore Predictions · Detroit LionsClose · 60The co-host (identified only as "Mitchell") made his own Week 3 picks, including blowout wins for Seattle and San Francisco, Cincinnati 27-17, Detroit 37-13, Denver 24-21 over the Rams, and predicted Jonah Coleman takes over the Broncos' running back role.
More position order calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Ryan WilsonPosition Order Calls · J.J. McCarthyHit · 100Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands.
- Nick ShookPosition Order Calls · Olaivavega IoaneMiss · 35Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Rhett LewisPosition Order Calls · Tyler ShoughHit · 100Lewis names Louisville's Tyler Shough as the new QB3 of the class — the third quarterback off the board — and views Milroe as a second-round selection.
- Nick WrightPosition Order Calls · Carnell TateHit · 100Nick Wright laid out his full mock draft 3.0 for the 2026 NFL Draft, pick by pick through the first round, and also predicted AJ Brown would finish top five in the NFL in receiving yards with the Patriots.
- Todd McShayPosition Order Calls · K.C. ConcepcionHit · 100McShay's mock draft 4.0 has Fernando Mendoza and David Bailey going 1-2 to the Raiders and Jets, the Saints trading up to No. 3 for Arvell Reese, the Titans taking Jeremiah Love at 4, the Giants taking Francis Mauigoa at 5 (though he'd now switch to Sonny Styles), the Cowboys trading up to 6, the Jets trading up to 7 for Carnell Tate, and Arizona trading up to 30 for Ty Simpson. He also predicts seven offensive tackles go in the first round and that Love, Styles, Downs and Reese all go in the top seven.
- Keith SanchezPosition Order Calls · Jordyn TysonClose · 71As relayed by Harrison, Sanchez's latest mock draft has Carnell Tate going to Washington, Jordan Tyson as the first receiver off the board at No. 5 to the Giants, Makai Lemmon at 11 and Chris Brasel at 30 to Miami, Sonny Styles at No. 8 to New Orleans, and Caleb Downs at No. 13 to the Rams.