Chris Brockman#36 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 6, 2025

Chris Brockman said Baker Mayfield will finish no lower than third in MVP voting, named Kyle Shanahan the coach of the year front-runner, and predicted both the Giants and Jets will pick in the top five of next year's draft.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 3calls landed2 hits · 1 miss · 1 waiting

66.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls

63.9A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

3 of 4Settled1 still waiting

#36Chris Brockman’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Chris Brockman said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

Baker Mayfield will finish no lower than third in the MVP this season.

Chris Brockman, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: Overreaction Monday (podcast)
The episode: NFL Week 5: Pats Rising, Eagles Falling, Colts Contending, Chargering Is Back, and More
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidOct 6, 2025
GradedAug 13, 2026

1New York Giants to pick “top five” (picks 1–5)“Both the Giants and the Jets will be picking in the top five next [April]”
2New York Jets to pick “top five” (picks 1–5)“Both the Giants and the Jets will be picking in the top five next [April]”
3Kyle Shanahan to win Coach of the Year“Kyle Shanahan is coach of the year front runner right now.”
4Baker Mayfield — MVP: finish no lower than third in the MVP“I think he's actually probably the MVP right now through five weeks, but Baker Mayfield will finish no lower than third in the MVP this season.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
New York Giants to pick “top five” (picks 1–5)¹	Team Draft Slot Calls	Picked at 5	100	100	0
New York Jets to pick “top five” (picks 1–5)²	Team Draft Slot Calls	Picked at 2	100	91.7	+14.77
Kyle Shanahan to win Coach of the Year³	Coach Award Picks	Mike Vrabel won	0	0	0
Baker Mayfield — MVP: finish no lower than third in the MVP⁴	Award Picks	—	—	—	—
4 calls · 2 hits · 1 miss · 1 waiting			66.7	63.9

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 2 team draft slot calls, 1 award pick and 1 coach award pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 66.7 out of 100, against 63.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick

top five (picks 1–5)They said

5What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

1Team Draft Slot Calls New York Giants
New York Giants to pick “top five” (picks 1–5)
What happenedPicked at 5
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.78difficulty0skill
How this was scored
team:
NYG
draft:
2026
naive:
they picked 3 the year before
skill:
0
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
predicted pick:
top five (picks 1–5)
weeks left when called:
14
Think this is wrong?
2Team Draft Slot Calls New York Jets
New York Jets to pick “top five” (picks 1–5)
What happenedPicked at 2
100Hit · naive 91.7
100this call91.7a naive guess8.3better than naive1.78difficulty+14.77skill
How this was scored
team:
NYJ
draft:
2026
naive:
they picked 7 the year before
skill:
14.77
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.7
actual pick:
2
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
predicted pick:
top five (picks 1–5)
weeks left when called:
14
Think this is wrong?
3Coach Award Picks
Kyle Shanahan to win Coach of the Year
What happenedMike Vrabel woncalled Kyle Shanahan
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.78difficulty0skill
How this was scored
award:
coach_of_the_year
coach:
Kyle Shanahan
naive:
the naive pick was Kevin O'Connell, who won it the year before
skill:
0
season:
2025
who won:
Mike Vrabel
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
14
Think this is wrong?
4Award Picks Baker Mayfield Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Baker Mayfield — MVP: finish no lower than third in the MVP
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
66.7naive 63.9

Who this take is about

Where do you stand on this one?Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.
Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.
Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score.
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picked the Giants to beat the Commanders at home in the Thursday night Week 10 game, 23-14, citing New York's dominant front seven containing Jayden Daniels.
Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin predicted final scores for seven Week 10 games, taking the Giants over the Commanders, the Lions, Chiefs, Packers, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens to win their respective matchups.

More team draft slot calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Jake Riepma · Team Draft Slot Calls · Detroit Lions · Hit 100
Filling in on Locked On Lions, Jake Reitma dismisses ESPN's suggestion that Sam LaPorta could be traded, saying LaPorta stays in Detroit as part of the core four. They also break down the edge class ahead of the Lions' pick at No. 17, calling David Bailey the class's top edge prospect with Reuben Bain Jr. next, and picks the Pistons as the NBA's best team.
Kent Swanson · Team Draft Slot Calls · Cincinnati Bengals · Miss 26
After the Chiefs' 14-12 loss to the Raiders, Kent laid out the resulting draft order: Kansas City picking ninth overall (and 40th in round two) in the 2026 draft, with New Orleans eighth, Cincinnati tenth, and the Raiders holding the No. 1 pick.
Rich Eisen · Team Draft Slot Calls · Miami Dolphins · Close 74
Eisen picked the Bills to finish with the NFL's best record, said the Dolphins look like a top-five draft pick team, chose the Chiefs over the Colts to make the playoffs despite their 0-2 start, and made week-three picks: Bengals to go 3-0, the Jets to win at Tampa, and they leaned Steelers over the Patriots.
Rich Eisen · Team Draft Slot Calls · Green Bay Packers · Close 42
Eisen predicts the Cowboys will be picking around No. 32 in next year's draft, i.e. Green Bay's first-rounder will be near the end of the round.
Tom Pelissero · Team Draft Slot Calls · Pittsburgh Steelers · Close 77
Pelissero says it wouldn't shock them if Shedeur Sanders is part of an open quarterback competition in Cleveland heading into training camp, expects Cam Ward to be the Titans' starter by the preseason, and suggests that if Aaron Rodgers plays poorly the Steelers could hold a top-15 pick in the 2026 draft and target a quarterback.
Daniel Jeremiah · Team Draft Slot Calls · Tennessee Titans · Hit 100
As relayed by Eisen, Jeremiah said the Titans will use the No. 1 overall pick rather than trade it, and they ranked Travis Hunter second overall on their draft board and first among wide receivers.