Chad MillmanJul 8, 2026
Millman's official pick is the Saints to make the playoffs at +200, and they like the Cowboys' price to reach the postseason. They also favor an Eagles–Chiefs Super Bowl matchup, feels best about Kansas City among Super Bowl contenders, and sees value in the Eagles as NFC top seed and the Bengals as AFC top seed.
Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original
What Chad Millman said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromSo my chad choice is going to be the New Orleans Saints to make the playoffs at plus two hundred.
- Where it was said
- The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)
- The episode
- Sharp or Square - NFL PLAYOFF BETTING PREDICTIONS
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- 1Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl“The one I actually feel most confident about is the Chiefs at thirteen to one... I don't like any of these teams in my round robin except for Kansas City.”
- 2Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl“All right, Eagles Chiefs Super Bowl matchup”
- 3Philadelphia Eagles to take the top seed“number one seed in each conference. Let's start with the NFC... Eagles plus eight hundred... If there's a team prime to bounce back right now, is it not the Eagles”
- 4Dallas Cowboys to make the playoffs“Dallas Cowboys plus one hundred to make the playoffs? Why is that not minus money?... I just feel like that they're being a little bit undervalued at plus one hundred to make the playoffs.”
- 5Cincinnati Bengals to take the top seed“But I like this opportunity on the Bengals at eleven to one because I agree with you”
- 6New Orleans Saints to make the playoffs“So my chad choice is going to be the New Orleans Saints to make the playoffs at plus two hundred. I like the situation with the South.”
- 7Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl“I would do Eagles Chiefs. That's what I would do. A Super Bowl match above Eagles Chiefs.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl1 | Super Bowl Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl2 | Conference Champions | — | — | — | — | |
| Philadelphia Eagles to take the top seed3 | Seeding, Byes and Home Field | — | — | — | — | |
| Dallas Cowboys to make the playoffs4 | Playoff Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| Cincinnati Bengals to take the top seed5 | Seeding, Byes and Home Field | — | — | — | — | |
| New Orleans Saints to make the playoffs6 | Playoff Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl7 | Conference Champions | — | — | — | — | |
| 7 calls · 7 waiting | — | — | ||||
How each call scored
7 checkable claims — 2 conference champions, 2 playoff picks, 2 seeding, byes and home field and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against the record
Their call against what actually happened last time. Not yet settled.
1Super Bowl PicksKansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
2Conference ChampionsKansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
3Seeding, Byes and Home FieldPhiladelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles to take the top seed
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Dallas Cowboys to make the playoffs
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
5Seeding, Byes and Home FieldCincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals to take the top seed
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
6Playoff PicksNew Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints to make the playoffs
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
7Conference ChampionsPhiladelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.Gilberto Manzano · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks.Joshua Poniatowski · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Poniatowski names several trade targets, predicting Malik Willis underperforms this week against New England, that Omarion Hampton could become a viable RB2 if Adam Gase takes over play-calling, that Josh Downs gets traded (ideally to Kansas City, where they'd be a top-24 WR), that Brian Thomas Jr. could be dealt to the Rams or 49ers, and that Travis Kelce remains a consistent weekly TE.Jordan Dajani · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
After reporting that Colts receiver Josh Downs requested a trade, they identify five clubs as plausible landing spots for them: the Rams, Patriots, Falcons, Chiefs and Raiders, and suggests Las Vegas could also give them a long-term extension.Mike Kadlick · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Kadlick names the Chiefs, Patriots and 49ers as the three best trade landing spots for Colts wide receiver Josh Downs ahead of the Nov. 10 deadline.
More conference champions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Damonza Byrd · Conference Champions · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
The co-host picks the Seahawks to beat the Rams in the NFC Championship game, and says they believe New England will win in Denver even though they are taking the Broncos with the points.Nick Wright · Conference Champions · New England Patriots · Hit 100
The host picks the Rams to beat the Seahawks in the NFC Championship game and believes the winner of that game wins the Super Bowl, i.e. that this is the Rams' year; they also pick New England to win in Denver despite taking the Broncos with the points, and says Stafford is winning MVP. They call Sean McVay the second-best coach in the NFL.Nick Wright · Conference Champions · Denver Broncos · Close 50
Wright picked the Broncos to beat the Patriots in a low-scoring AFC Championship game (17-16), said Sean Payton would coach Denver to the Super Bowl, picked the Rams to win outright in Seattle 31-20, believes the winner of the NFC game wins the Super Bowl with the Rams the better team, and expects Matt Stafford to be named league MVP.AJ Hawk · Conference Champions · Los Angeles Rams · Close 50
Hawk picked the Patriots to win in Denver despite liking Stidham and the Broncos defense, and in the NFC they stuck with the Rams, saying Stafford gets to the Super Bowl.Derek Murphy · Conference Champions · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Bone said after watching film that Seattle will handle the Rams in the NFC Championship Game, and that the Seahawks are going to the Super Bowl.