Alex Kay· Aug 12, 2026
Kay names five late-round fantasy stashes (ADP 100 or later) he expects to outperform their draft cost: Tyler Shough, Blake Corum, Kaelon Black, Rashid Shaheed and Dalton Kincaid. He also forecasts Corum's role in the Rams backfield, Black winning the 49ers RB2 job, Shaheed passing Kupp as Seattle's WR2, and Kincaid finishing TE10 or better.
“Shough is a strong bet to outperform his modest fantasy projections.”
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9 checkable claims — 5 sleeper calls, 3 depth chart calls and 1 positional finishe — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.
Of the 4 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 3.
Where this call stands in the room
Kaelon Black · 2026 season14 calls from 7 pundits between 2 and 2. Alex Kay said 2. the room's median is 2. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
9 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Sleeper CallsTyler ShoughNew Orleans SaintsAug 12, 2026
Tyler Shough to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 147 (QB20))
“Shough is a strong bet to outperform his modest fantasy projections. He's a perfect high-upside pick to take a chance on, offering QB1-tier upside”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Depth Chart CallsKaelon BlackSan Francisco 49ersAug 12, 2026
Kaelon Black to be 2nd on the depth chart
“The rookie has strong potential to earn the RB2 job behind entrenched starter Christian McCaffrey”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Depth Chart CallsRashid ShaheedSeattle SeahawksAug 12, 2026
Rashid Shaheed to be 2nd on the depth chart
“If he usurps Kupp as the WR2 in Seattle's offense”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Sleeper CallsBlake CorumLos Angeles RamsAug 12, 2026
Blake Corum to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 103 (RB36))
“Considering his modest ADP, managers shouldn't hesitate to snap up Corum in the middle-to-late portion of a draft.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Positional FinishesDalton KincaidBuffalo BillsAug 12, 2026
Dalton Kincaid to finish top 10 at his position, by fantasy points
“it's almost guaranteed the tight end will post a TE10 or better finish”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Sleeper CallsRashid ShaheedSeattle SeahawksAug 12, 2026
Rashid Shaheed to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 142 (WR57))
“he'll vastly outperform his current ADP and will be one of the true late-round steals of fantasy drafts.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Sleeper CallsKaelon BlackSan Francisco 49ersAug 12, 2026
Kaelon Black to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 234 (RB65))
“be sure to capitalize on the uncertainty surrounding San Francisco's backfield by stashing him during the final rounds of your draft.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Sleeper CallsDalton KincaidBuffalo BillsAug 12, 2026
Dalton Kincaid to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 123 (TE15))
“it's almost guaranteed the tight end will post a TE10 or better finish and greatly outperform his middling ADP.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Depth Chart CallsBlake CorumLos Angeles RamsAug 12, 2026
Blake Corum to be 2nd on the depth chart
“a 60-40 split between Williams and Corum seems to be the most likely scenario to kick things off in 2026 ... Corum should be able to do enough damage to warrant flex consideration from his backup role”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · New Orleans SaintsClose · 48Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 0Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 0Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
- Matt HarmonGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro.
More sleeper calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Derek BrownSleeper Calls · Travis HunterHit · 100Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave his own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them.
- Tom StrachanSleeper Calls · Jalen CokerHit · 100Tom Strachan backed Xavier Worthy, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Darnell Mooney, Zay Flowers, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter as values at their draft costs, while avoiding Jerry Jeudy and the Cleveland receivers.
- Chris WelshSleeper Calls · Tyler WarrenHit · 100Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy.
- Pat FitzmauriceSleeper Calls · Rashee RiceMiss · 0Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (his WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (his QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields.
- Joe PisapiaSleeper Calls · Tyreek HillMiss · 0Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: he passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon.
- Ryan WormeliSleeper Calls · Tetairoa McMillanHit · 100Hosting the segment, Warmley backed Bryce Young to finish better than his QB22 consensus ranking, endorsed Cedric Tillman as a late-round target, and said Tetairoa McMillan will be a top-15 fantasy receiver this season.