John Shipley· Oct 13, 2026
Shipley declares linebacker Jack Kiser, taken 107th overall in the fourth round of the 2025 draft, the Jaguars' first draft bust of the new Coen/Gladstone/Boselli regime after Cincinnati claimed him on waivers.
“No matter what Kiser ends up doing for the Bengals, this can now be classified as the new Jaguars regime's first miss.”
published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →
One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
Nothing to score yet: this grades once the result is in.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
1 checkable claim in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Draft Bust CallsJack KiserJacksonville JaguarsOct 13, 2026
Jack Kiser to disappoint at the next level
“The Jaguars drafted Kiser with the No. 107th pick in the fourth-round of the 2025 NFL Draft... the Jaguars have their first draft bust of the Liam Coen/James Gladstone/Tony Boselli era.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- AJ HawkGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 100Hawk picked the Jaguars to beat the Ravens on the road, predicting roughly a 17-point margin.
- Connor "Boston Connor" CampbellGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 100Connor believed Baltimore would keep it close but still said Jacksonville wins the game outright.
- Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 100Wright expects the 49ers to release Brandon Aiyuk once he reports, predicts Jacksonville blows out Baltimore on Thursday night, sees the Jaguars finishing around 13-4 or 14-3, and thinks Seattle's defense carries them past Arizona even with Drew Lock starting.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 100Rogers agreed the Bears have the NFL's best offense, picked Minnesota as the league's best total defense, and picked Jacksonville to beat Baltimore on Thursday night.
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 83Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; he also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore.
- Mark Morales-SmithGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 100Within a Week 9 fantasy sleeper column, he states that Jacksonville is almost certain to blow out Baltimore, with the Jaguars running the ball through the second half and fourth quarter.
More draft bust calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- John MiddlekauffDraft Bust Calls · Caleb WilliamsMiss · 0Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. He is pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying he'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. He also sees Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix.
- John MiddlekauffDraft Bust Calls · Anthony RichardsonHit · 100Middlekoff's bold predictions, as relayed on the show, have the Patriots and Colts making the playoffs; he also argues the Colts whiffed on Anthony Richardson, comparing him to Trey Lance.
- Buck ReisingDraft Bust Calls · Anthony RichardsonPendingDiscussing the NFL trade deadline, Reising argued Anthony Richardson will not be out of the league after his rookie deal, saying the fourth overall pick's career to this point qualifies as a massive bust.
- Carter BahnsDraft Bust Calls · Ashton JeantyPendingBahns predicts Ashton Jeanty's role in Las Vegas will continue to shrink, with Mike Washington Jr. functioning as a co-starter/early-down back while Jeanty becomes a receiving-game specialist rather than the every-down featured back he was drafted to be.
- Jason FitzDraft Bust Calls · Cam WardPendingFitz predicted Joe Burrow will win NFL MVP, argued Cam Ward is on track to be remembered as the worst No. 1 overall bust since JaMarcus Russell, said the Titans could very likely land the No. 1 pick again, expects Jacksonville to blow out the Colts, sees Indiana's Charlie Becker as a high first-round pick, and believes Lamar Jackson stays in Baltimore long-term.
- Hanford DixonDraft Bust Calls · Dillon GabrielPendingDixon said the Browns wasted a third-round pick on Dillon Gabriel, arguing he can be a decent NFL backup but not in Cleveland, and that Shedeur Sanders would be the quarterback to step in if Deshaun Watson were hurt.