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Jason Fitz· Nov 1, 2026

Fitz predicted Joe Burrow will win NFL MVP, argued Cam Ward is on track to be remembered as the worst No. 1 overall bust since JaMarcus Russell, said the Titans could very likely land the No. 1 pick again, expects Jacksonville to blow out the Colts, sees Indiana's Charlie Becker as a high first-round pick, and believes Lamar Jackson stays in Baltimore long-term.

“Joe Burrow is going to end up being the NFL MVP.”

said on air or in an interview · Fox Sports Radio (podcast) · read the original →

5 checkable claims — 1 award pick, 1 draft bust call, 1 game outcome pick, 1 mock draft pick and 1 team draft slot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Where this call stands in the room

Tennessee Titans · 2026 season · overall pick

8 calls from 8 pundits between 1 overall pick and 6 overall pick. Jason Fitz said 1 overall pick. the room's median is 2 overall pick. not settled yet

Jason Fitz — 1 overall pickthe room — 8 calls from 8 punditsmedian 2 overall pick

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

The game in this take

5 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Colts

    “Yeah, they're going to get murdered by Jacksonville tomorrow.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    JAX
    score:
    7-42
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    JAX
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 1): Jaguars by 10 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 4 in 5 (80%).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Tennessee Titans to pick at number 1

    “And now you're in a situation where you may very likely have the number one overall pick again this year in the draft.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Cam Ward to disappoint at the next level

    “you're looking at quite possibly the biggest bust at the number one overall position in the draft since Jamarcus Russell. Because that's what's happening right now when you talk about Cam Ward.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Charlie Becker to be picked “a high first-round pick” (picks 1–32)

    “it's funny that for somebody that's going to be a high first-round pick in my mind, there's no doubt about it, that's an epic wide receiver.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Joe Burrow to win NFL MVP

    “tomorrow does matter for the quarterback of the other team because Joe Burrow is going to end up being the NFL MVP.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More draft bust calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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